Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Colorado Bears vs. Colorado Buffaloes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd27a270da25b799f2fd2cf58121e1e655d32b4000020fe2dd0acd3b45760f67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Colorado Bearsof Northern Colorado Bears, Colorado Buffaloes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Northern Colorado Bears | 10c | 3,408$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.82 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 72c | 3,396$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.19 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Northern Colorado Bears | 28c | 2,520$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.8 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Buffaloes | 65c | 2,171$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.63 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 77c | 2,139$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.75 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 34c | 2,058$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.36 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Northern Colorado Bears | 52c | 1,391$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.8 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd379…c870backed Northern Colorado Bears | 26c | 1,160$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +221.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 37c | 810.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…9912backed Northern Colorado Bears | 17c | 597.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Colorado Buffaloes | 36c | 548$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.78 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Northern Colorado Bears | 10c | 533.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.5 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Northern Colorado Bears | 8c | 474.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.48 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 18c | 321.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.57 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 67c | 298.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.27 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Northern Colorado Bears | 38c | 267.54$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.66 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northern Colorado Bears | 58c | 255.67$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.91 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52d…6ddebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 42c | 237.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Northern Colorado Bears | 46c | 217.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.81 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Northern Colorado Bears | 74c | 188.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Northern Colorado Bears | 30c | 164.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.58 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb200…8163backed Northern Colorado Bears | 23c | 149.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…37f4backed Colorado Buffaloes | 11c | 141.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 21c | 133.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 35c | 126.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…9e83backed Colorado Buffaloes | 45c | 103.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Northern Colorado Bears | 54c | 96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 61c | 89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northern Colorado Bears | 33c | 80.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 79c | 57.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Northern Colorado Bears | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed Colorado Buffaloes | 47c | 31.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dff…7974backed Colorado Buffaloes | 77c | 20.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…5ff4backed Northern Colorado Bears | 58c | 17.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Colorado Bears vs. Colorado Buffaloesthis page
- Northern Colorado Bears vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 158.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Buffaloes (-13.5)Northern Colorado Bears won
- Spread: Colorado Buffaloes (-14.5)Northern Colorado Bears won
- Spread: Colorado Buffaloes (-15.5)Northern Colorado Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.