Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Marton Fucsovics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6a855d6f190d29fb994ded61b269d44ac66352920b75b3a5ed0d7749c5670c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medvedevof Medvedev, Fucsovics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fucsovics | 14c | 12,841$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.67 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fucsovics | 19c | 5,204$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.38 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fucsovics | 13c | 4,219$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.03 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Medvedev | 77c | 3,241$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…a606backed Medvedev | 78c | 2,515$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.33 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Fucsovics | 25c | 2,108$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.71 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fucsovics | 11c | 1,795$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.85 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb539…7c32backed Fucsovics | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fucsovics | 16c | 1,484$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.83 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Fucsovics | 22c | 1,300$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.1 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…934cbacked Medvedev | 80c | 1,267$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Fucsovics | 22c | 1,267$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.8 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…a08fbacked Medvedev | 78c | 1,244$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fucsovics | 18c | 809.88$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.28 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Medvedev | 77c | 624.91$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Fucsovics | 21c | 549.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Fucsovics | 5c | 413.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465f…1435backed Fucsovics | 27c | 364$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Fucsovics | 23c | 344.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e00…1a29backed Medvedev | 78c | 343.33$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Fucsovics | 6c | 321.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Fucsovics | 23c | 302.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Fucsovics | 20c | 300.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Medvedev | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Fucsovics | 22c | 262.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Medvedev | 78c | 261.21$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Fucsovics | 22c | 260$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Fucsovics | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…93f9backed Fucsovics | 6c | 224.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Fucsovics | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Fucsovics | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Medvedev | 74c | 155.59$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed Medvedev | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…783ebacked Medvedev | 77c | 134.48$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Fucsovics | 10c | 131.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Medvedev | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Medvedev | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 103 | 72.8%75 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked Medvedev | 79c | 127.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Medvedev | 79c | 124$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Fucsovics | 14c | 122.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Medvedev | 80c | 118$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Fucsovics | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed Fucsovics | 22c | 100.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -78%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…6817backed Fucsovics | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Medvedev | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Fucsovics | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Medvedev | 77c | 86.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 79 | 81%64 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Medvedev | 77c | 82.07$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Medvedev | 78c | 68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…f1a3backed Fucsovics | 26c | 65.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Medvedev | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Fucsovics | 26c | 64.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Medvedev | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…87d2backed Medvedev | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae04…7411backed Medvedev | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Medvedev | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…f5f4backed Medvedev | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Fucsovics | 22c | 49.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…d794backed Fucsovics | 25c | 46.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Fucsovics | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Medvedev | 76c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa171…23e3backed Medvedev | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0d03backed Medvedev | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Medvedev | 76c | 38.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…f2b3backed Medvedev | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…400dbacked Medvedev | 78c | 37.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ec…da98backed Medvedev | 79c | 31.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Medvedev | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4738backed Medvedev | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…c79bbacked Medvedev | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65bb…b830backed Medvedev | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Medvedev | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Medvedev | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…b193backed Medvedev | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 258 | 62.4%161 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d11…6096backed Medvedev | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…63c8backed Medvedev | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Marton Fucsovicsthis page
- Medvedev vs. Fucsovics: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs FucsovicsMedvedev won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Fucsovics (+1.5)Medvedev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.