Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84897463d069227fd4750bf736767380dc50ffae50fba4eb472852dd93b6611f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb640…b52fbacked Yes | 1c | 32,934$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…7234backed Yes | 0c | 10,155$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 17c | 920$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.2 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 29c | 587.52$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed Yes | 23c | 443.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 3c | 426.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 24c | 322.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 281$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…6009backed No | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 26c | 238.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 75c | 236.29$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 78c | 234.85$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 26c | 171.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c1…3365backed Yes | 10c | 171.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 20c | 166.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 23c | 165.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 76c | 159.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 23c | 157.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ba…1deabacked Yes | 20c | 143.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61c…4dd6backed Yes | 24c | 138.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…c1e6backed Yes | 30c | 135.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bd…a2a0backed Yes | 23c | 132.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7f…8282backed Yes | 23c | 132.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 132$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 76c | 123.13$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 117.28$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…66b4backed Yes | 22c | 117.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 71c | 115.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 24c | 112.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 76c | 112.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 35c | 110.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…9ab0backed Yes | 17c | 110.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…9145backed Yes | 21c | 100.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 85 | 9.4%8 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 74c | 100.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…56d9backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 20c | 98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 21c | 97.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 24c | 93.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a5…132bbacked Yes | 22c | 92.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 73c | 90.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed No | 76c | 87.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 76c | 87.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…e62abacked No | 79c | 86.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 236 | 77.1%182 W · 54 L | +23.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…fd84backed No | 69c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 82.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 22c | 77.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 34c | 75.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 80c | 75.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 16c | 74.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 78c | 74.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 77c | 73.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 76c | 70.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 76c | 68.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…05a6backed Yes | 23c | 66.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 78c | 62.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…0484backed Yes | 26c | 58.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 161 | 29.2%47 W · 114 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 77c | 57.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…d659backed Yes | 24c | 56.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 271 | 30.6%83 W · 188 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 79c | 55.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed Yes | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 72c | 53.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 76c | 52.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 28c | 52.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…d4dabacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 53 | 81.1%43 W · 10 L | +8.5wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 77c | 48.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 26c | 48.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 78c | 47.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 80c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 22c | 46.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…7cb8backed Yes | 23c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb2…ad6fbacked Yes | 22c | 45.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 163 | 24.5%40 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 79c | 45.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…62e0backed No | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 78c | 43.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…9a72backed Yes | 26c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 72c | 38.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ae…d801backed No | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 79c | 33.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 76c | 29.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 72c | 28.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 74c | 28.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 78c | 21.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf3…ca4abacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…f8bfbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.