TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x328a…a56d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$67.48
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$384.31
France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.72
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$156.36
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$34.65
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$168.56
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$57.59
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.3
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$46.99
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.61
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Over $3M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$34.25
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$7.65
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$17.46
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$13.09
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.6
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24.33
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$46
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$17.05
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.93
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$20.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$11.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$4.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.