Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca128bf81f6e289a7f6bbdd99d160c13e9a9256548d0e13b067f4b8ab6a02a45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGC Niceof Paris Saint-Germain FC, OGC Nice
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 65c | 47,944$31,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,162.93 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed OGC Nice | 35c | 46,354$16,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,021.61 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed OGC Nice | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked OGC Nice | 37c | 1,250$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…606fbacked OGC Nice | 35c | 1,005$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed OGC Nice | 38c | 700$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 63c | 411.07$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed OGC Nice | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 57c | 280$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2178…9363backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 63c | 233.33$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…ea48backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 63c | 195.24$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…8f4cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 63c | 195.24$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed OGC Nice | 61c | 147.94$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…fc58backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 38c | 100.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…da9cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 65c | 97.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked OGC Nice | 36c | 90.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb82…ef9bbacked OGC Nice | 35c | 86.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked OGC Nice | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed OGC Nice | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked OGC Nice | 51c | 81.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +204.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…f8a4backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f4…4dfbbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 42c | 64.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 63c | 57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 43c | 42.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0a6dbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e93…69d5backed OGC Nice | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…852fbacked OGC Nice | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.