Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23df8eaa4a346a3138543be992ff99f180ec6128f4efd902598e2cc86a1fba55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 6,301$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.67 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 72c | 3,444$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.17 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 57c | 3,280$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.39 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 72c | 2,128$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.36 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 29c | 1,376$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Yes | 28c | 1,307$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…9a67backed Yes | 28c | 1,307$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 60c | 1,270$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.09 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…abf6backed Yes | 29c | 1,247$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5d…6011backed Yes | 29c | 1,241$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 27c | 1,231$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153d…108fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,189$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…ba90backed Yes | 29c | 1,054$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 2c | 1,034$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 981.15$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.24 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2178…9363backed Yes | 29c | 751.72$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…8f4cbacked Yes | 28c | 717.86$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9be5…384dbacked Yes | 25c | 574$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 73c | 525.64$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.34 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 42c | 524.29$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 24c | 489.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…f9d9backed Yes | 27c | 405$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…ea48backed Yes | 27c | 351.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 14c | 291.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 16c | 290$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da9…3710backed Yes | 55c | 272.41$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 207.43$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 26c | 204.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 49c | 203.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked No | 62c | 158.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…89babacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes | 24c | 124.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…5df3backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 72c | 100.79$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 69c | 86.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ea…158dbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f6…2ad8backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 25c | 67.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e4…f323backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 56cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 55.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b5…4d41backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…185cbacked Yes | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ca…2d0cbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 42c | 36.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-11-02?No won
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.