Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1945af1c22cdb696afe1cdcd14df39e956afd099b93412bec024bbf27b49780b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 14c | 28,747$3,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,974.35 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 5c | 10,259$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.42 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 29c | 8,545$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.59 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5816…8167backed Yes | 8c | 7,074$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…edb6backed Yes | 16c | 6,252$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472d…b51bbacked Yes | 6c | 5,014$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed No | 72c | 3,502$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.12 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Yes | 6c | 3,267$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.05 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 20c | 3,254$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.42 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…0564backed Yes | 7c | 2,796$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…7aa0backed Yes | 13c | 2,550$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 5c | 2,404$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.39 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…8f4cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,880$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0329…db42backed Yes | 4c | 1,787$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 18c | 1,670$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.6 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 65c | 1,636$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.84 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 1,605$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 72c | 1,604$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.3 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…d717backed Yes | 18c | 1,571$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.4 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82e…5278backed Yes | 4c | 1,404$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked No | 72c | 1,365$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.3 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 17c | 1,350$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.15 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…335ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,306$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.74 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 78c | 1,290$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 76cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30cb…b901backed No | 23c | 1,200$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,192$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 3c | 1,134$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…daf3backed Yes | 8c | 1,053$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…37f4backed Yes | 4c | 1,039$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe774…6457backed Yes | 4c | 1,024$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 42c | 1,000$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.77 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…c9b7backed Yes | 4c | 999.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…7e2abacked Yes | 42c | 981.48$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…270cbacked Yes | 10c | 952.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +262.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…e8b0backed No | 47c | 869.6$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.93 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6259…c692backed Yes | 6c | 790$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 38c | 766$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.76 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…ed71backed Yes | 3c | 710.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…4a56backed Yes | 5c | 700.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf1…6ca1backed No | 49c | 687.57$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.87 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…e6f6backed Yes | 20c | 680$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…4b04backed Yes | 18c | 599.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed No | 61c | 597.06$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.02 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe764…b89abacked Yes | 19c | 550$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 36c | 537.73$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.98 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked No | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8d…edbebacked Yes | 54c | 497.41$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23b…b787backed Yes | 4c | 460.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ade…ac2bbacked Yes | 6c | 458.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…a152backed Yes | 43c | 439.13$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 10c | 414.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 143 | 7.7%11 W · 132 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…a159backed Yes | 45c | 400$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes | 16c | 382.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaac…c198backed No | 63c | 374.44$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.96 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Yes | 5c | 373.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 6c | 315.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b5…8e6dbacked Yes | 13c | 301.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes | 20c | 251$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…525fbacked No | 42c | 240.95$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.75 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…e629backed Yes | 43c | 222.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…2e46backed Yes | 62c | 219.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 23c | 215.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 69c | 210.93$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945b…8ca4backed No | 74c | 207.98$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…c05dbacked No | 47c | 201.84$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.41 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…c69ebacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 13c | 199.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 6c | 187.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f30…ba89backed Yes | 11c | 173.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…0341backed Yes | 33c | 170.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cc…6afbbacked Yes | 17c | 166.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…d034backed Yes | 63c | 159.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa9…db6cbacked No | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6685…0622backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 17c | 146.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…af51backed Yes | 19c | 144.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…1f06backed No | 32c | 143.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 69c | 141.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8872…561dbacked Yes | 41c | 127.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Yes | 65c | 119.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcad0…8b3ebacked Yes | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…3a81backed Yes | 37c | 111.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 22c | 109.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…c1c5backed No | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…3d0abacked Yes | 13c | 100.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed No | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5717…3d84backed No | 39c | 91.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2932…3ae8backed Yes | 54c | 91.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Yes | 12c | 91.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed No | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e95ebacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…66acbacked Yes | 59c | 84.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…d0f8backed Yes | 54c | 80.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…c377backed No | 37c | 77.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…9472backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a8…601abacked No | 68c | 73.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…137cbacked No | 71c | 70.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $48,000 July 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 July 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 July 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 July 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 July 13-19?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 July 13-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.