Fifa International · resolved market
Canada to score first vs. Morocco?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fb0324ee740ce51ab7d5cefbf4aa201f70307e3c898e5c6fbeb11173a00b35b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1e3…935dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…1e0cbacked Yes | 30c | 6,619$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.67 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 60c | 4,706$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.58 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 62c | 4,108$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.17 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 3,901$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.51 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 70c | 2,693$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.63 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 2,572$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.81 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 1,814$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.98 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 30c | 1,704$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.18 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…b4b5backed Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 69c | 1,600$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4268…542bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,444$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 40c | 1,403$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.26 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 67c | 1,378$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.91 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…2074backed Yes | 44c | 1,273$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.6 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 62c | 1,138$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.96 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 70c | 1,111$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.29 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de0…8eaabacked Yes | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 35c | 1,002$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.17 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1c…47f5backed Yes | 31c | 960$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 36c | 876$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.89 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 69c | 788.28$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.73 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 36c | 730.59$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.51 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 60c | 684.63$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.77 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa9…58eebacked Yes | 29c | 642.41$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 34c | 597.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.12 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 69c | 549.99$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 30c | 516.67$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…3b2ebacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 60c | 470.61$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.42 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 35c | 420$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.9 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Yes | 29c | 413.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.93 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 408.11$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 368.46$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 37c | 346$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 70c | 343.26$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Yes | 36c | 336$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…0fe4backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Yes | 44c | 226.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 335 | 44.5%149 W · 186 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 63c | 223.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.53 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 60c | 201.46$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 58c | 199.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x148f…1ad2backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…0371backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 68c | 156.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 70c | 149.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…ac5bbacked Yes | 39c | 133.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc0…7c96backed Yes | 34c | 133.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 33c | 130.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 25%23 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…697abacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…420dbacked Yes | 43c | 115.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…4712backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Yes | 45c | 110.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abc…636abacked Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 70c | 104.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…4ff3backed Yes | 31c | 102.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf426…f40fbacked Yes | 10c | 102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…7568backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…a286backed Yes | 28c | 98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…4eb3backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…dc38backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 14c | 93.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…e857backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…c496backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa144…963bbacked No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Yes | 30c | 76.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 57c | 75.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032d…7168backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0755…899abacked Yes | 31c | 72.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…6564backed Yes | 37c | 67.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…2960backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked Yes | 37c | 64.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…5ff7backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 69c | 64.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…419fbacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 30c | 63.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb7…f020backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56a4…1449backed Yes | 38c | 61.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 68c | 58.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…665fbacked Yes | 38c | 51.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb62d…c8ccbacked Yes | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…e395backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada to score first vs. Morocco?this page
- Canada vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?No won
- Morocco to score first vs. Canada?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.