Fifa International · resolved market
Cabo Verde to score first vs. Argentina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x952408a4b83adbb450ea374d259590209d8802ebe57b84142f371b1c219eea99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 12c | 26,076$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139.05 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb3…521bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…534fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…f12cbacked Yes | 13c | 6,982$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.65 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 6,454$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.59 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 12c | 2,806$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.62 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…3066backed Yes | 15c | 2,750$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…d208backed Yes | 12c | 2,604$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.44 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -70%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc7…cbbcbacked Yes | 12c | 2,419$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 16c | 1,253$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…f26dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 14c | 894.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.41 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055e…7b08backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +251.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…ef6ebacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebeb…47b3backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf347…87b3backed Yes | 2c | 691.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes | 12c | 583.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…132fbacked Yes | 13c | 564.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 221 | 35.3%78 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 11c | 511$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…0e10backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05e…52c7backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…2602backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf2…6f25backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…5e0fbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…5405backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…6812backed Yes | 14c | 390$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 11c | 385.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 12c | 375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 237 | 36.3%86 W · 151 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…6aadbacked Yes | 13c | 315$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…e040backed Yes | 17c | 294.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 165 | 38.2%63 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…449dbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…3682backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 11c | 211.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…4712backed Yes | 12c | 209.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519e…71bbbacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes | 13c | 207.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 204 | 27.5%56 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…9434backed Yes | 16c | 196.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…f307backed Yes | 11c | 174.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…e47fbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4f…a7e0backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bc…73d5backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 13c | 155.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 12c | 153.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 202 | 27.2%55 W · 147 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff99…58dfbacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb23…13f9backed Yes | 12c | 141.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab3…c43ebacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…2e39backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc889…4903backed Yes | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…14b5backed Yes | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f7fbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…4dddbacked Yes | 12c | 94.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…31c2backed Yes | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…f4acbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cabo Verde to score first vs. Argentina?this page
- Argentina to score first vs. Cabo Verde?Yes won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.