Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina to score first vs. Cabo Verde?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6513aecb9d1fe64d0d71aefb7d7ab52255a5ebb362279659e5c59766c2afb2c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 15c | 3,940$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.53 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 15c | 3,904$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.36 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 1c | 3,599$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 15c | 3,351$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.19 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 15c | 3,175$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.06 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 14c | 2,451$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.11 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 14c | 2,170$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.34 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 15c | 1,809$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.79 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 15c | 1,526$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.14 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 15c | 1,111$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.59 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 15c | 1,088$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.42 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 12c | 906.04$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 15c | 549.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 18c | 547.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 12c | 444.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…71e6backed No | 16c | 412.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 195 | 20%39 W · 156 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 15c | 361.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 9c | 347.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 15c | 333.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 13c | 234.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 18c | 201.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 14c | 189.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 14c | 187.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 15c | 182.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 15c | 149.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 15c | 120.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 15c | 120.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 15c | 113.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 15c | 107.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 15c | 106.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 14c | 93.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 15c | 89.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 15c | 86.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 16c | 84.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…2ad5backed No | 15c | 84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 15c | 83.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 15c | 82.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…0187backed No | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 14c | 79.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 15c | 70.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 14c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina to score first vs. Cabo Verde?this page
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Neither team to score first?No won
- Cabo Verde to score first vs. Argentina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.