TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Algeria to score first vs. Switzerland?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,860

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,698 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2117…5c26backed Yes35c8,156$2,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,815.421,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes35c7,337$2,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,572.212,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes2c6,553$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.338,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No65c6,402$4,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.523,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a76…53debacked Yes12c5,682$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6824628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No65c5,589$3,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.393,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No65c2,584$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.459752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x788d…cab1backed Yes1c2,467$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.674930.6%15 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No65c1,061$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.752,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No64c999.97$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.661,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No66c799.98$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.9947648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed Yes36c694.44$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25023224.1%56 W · 176 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013943.9%61 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe0…00abbacked Yes35c562.06$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.723537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No66c500.31$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.111,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe69d…a199backed No64c374.94$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.981154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No56c374.87$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.252,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes34c350$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11925418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No65c335.49$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4240655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1425…6e0cbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007429.7%22 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No63c198$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.262,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No63c193$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.412,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No65c184.18$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.843,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2db…31cabacked Yes35c157.2$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.856936.2%25 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00b9…4ca6backed No66c149.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019618.4%36 W · 160 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5056240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3f…7ae0backed Yes35c138.69$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.54825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes36c123.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.592,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9916…54dcbacked Yes34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010028%28 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes34c117$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.382,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f2…1652backed Yes35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013037.7%49 W · 81 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6630…3b83backed Yes35c113.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x087a…bb87backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013930.9%43 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Yes36c103.86$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3923036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3587938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ab…79e1backed Yes36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-51.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe08f…ef55backed Yes35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305945.8%27 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0e5…9623backed No78c80.67$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4712541.6%52 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ee…7774backed Yes41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.59028.9%26 W · 64 L+0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked No64c79.81$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7338155.4%211 W · 170 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…db44backed No66c78.94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8419760.4%119 W · 78 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No65c73.89$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.942,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Yes35c69.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.249047.8%43 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2da…2ba1backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb9…31d1backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-60.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x223b…971cbacked Yes34c52.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.716040%64 W · 96 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba3…eebebacked No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No63c49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.133,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63e…30e3backed Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205532.7%18 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed No64c42.45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2842048.8%205 W · 215 L+18.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x492e…e77fbacked Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206233.9%21 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedda…2e39backed Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d85…3a04backed Yes35c37.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a9…c44abacked Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109045.6%41 W · 49 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No64c22.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed No67c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9354450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d7…f41abacked No66c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1425748.6%125 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed No65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716157.8%93 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x849c…b9c4backed No67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.