Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc3a2908175ee80a9820d75a544e557b09a011afbb483f176360de5dd519c245
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fc3…b676backed Over | 21c | 3,131$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.53 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 1,866$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.94 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 20c | 999.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.6 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under | 79c | 420.77$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.41 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…dd03backed Over | 27c | 403.07$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.24 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Over | 23c | 308.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.7 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked Over | 21c | 285$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.15 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…8e3fbacked Under | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…0eb3backed Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…d7b8backed Over | 23c | 211.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.01 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 22c | 188$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.64 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 77c | 182.96$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.54 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 78c | 179$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed Under | 78c | 176.49$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.66 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 77c | 159.6$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 78c | 159.17$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Over | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e1…ad5abacked Over | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 78c | 69.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…d62fbacked Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 80c | 59.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…2079backed Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 77c | 15.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 0.5Over won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5Under won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)DR Congo won
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)DR Congo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.