Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e3e40a611b200abb3b64b6115fa1101e55ceb2531c2a0985ca6be9d11316d74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 46c | 13,534$6,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,212.39 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 54c | 6,477$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.24 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 62c | 4,280$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.45 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf78…ae9ebacked Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 51c | 1,085$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.75 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…0fcabacked Under | 10c | 1,033$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…ab64backed Under | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 812.58$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.97 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 763.32$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.47 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 761.91$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.23 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Under | 10c | 743.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 54c | 542.88$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.55 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 74c | 496.83$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.52 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Under | 52c | 356.97$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 46c | 309.45$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.74 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 55c | 274.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.47 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 55c | 261.43$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.47 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 250$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.57 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 55c | 246.03$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.82 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 16c | 226.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 49c | 211.64$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 57c | 201.13$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 39c | 197.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…8a0bbacked Under | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 54c | 154.02$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 56c | 150.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…0247backed Over | 60c | 146.67$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc69…34cabacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 108.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Under | 18c | 106.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 53c | 100.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 53c | 74.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 65.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 53c | 55.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 52.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 54c | 49.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Under | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Over | 54c | 45.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 56c | 44.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 47c | 44.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18a…1c89backed Under | 41c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 64c | 38.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 54c | 36.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 54c | 36.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 53c | 31.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4b…e5a8backed Under | 48c | 30.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 54c | 28.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 56c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 47c | 22.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Over | 54c | 21.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 53c | 19.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 57c | 19.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 2.5this page
- Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. IK Start: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)IK Start won
- Spread: IK Start (-1.5)Fredrikstad FK won
- Spread: IK Start (-2.5)Fredrikstad FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.