TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Masked Regimeof Ground Zero, Masked Regime
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa927…8d9fbacked Ground Zero50c6,741$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,380.234559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc9…ab64backed Ground Zero4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Ground Zero2c4,210$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.26225.8%16 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4b…556bbacked Ground Zero2c4,200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80234.3%1 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-69.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Masked Regime40c2,576$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.457,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Ground Zero4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005211.5%6 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick18cpaid+16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fb9…ba87backed Ground Zero4c2,400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Ground Zero2c2,400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561618.8%3 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick7cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Ground Zero4c1,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60140%0 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7288…9ec5backed Ground Zero8c1,200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96825%2 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+34.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Masked Regime61c829$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.312,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Masked Regime54c712.49$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.012,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Masked Regime68c620.68$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.691,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Ground Zero9c620$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.245240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Ground Zero22c600$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1347920.3%16 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Ground Zero22c600$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1345927.1%16 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6535…063fbacked Ground Zero8c600$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-78.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed Ground Zero11c528.83$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.071428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c0…fad2backed Ground Zero11c528.83$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.07120%0 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Masked Regime79c528$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.425,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Ground Zero21c521$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9318432.6%60 W · 124 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Ground Zero5c510$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Masked Regime52c494.55$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.7978043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Masked Regime51c425.6$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.672,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a19…86c8backed Ground Zero17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686330.2%19 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Ground Zero16c320$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.241436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Ground Zero16c320$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.257935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Ground Zero22c300$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6737339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98e5…f069backed Ground Zero65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19514763.9%94 W · 53 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Ground Zero27c298$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.642427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb084…be70backed Ground Zero15c261.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.465824.1%14 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe075…bf89backed Masked Regime46c258.33$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3317146.2%79 W · 92 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Masked Regime28c250$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1805,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Masked Regime50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12516146%74 W · 87 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Masked Regime71c247$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.62,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f1…5ea0backed Masked Regime48c206.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.799252.2%48 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Masked Regime25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Ground Zero56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11261054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6096…e6d9backed Ground Zero8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Ground Zero13c177.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5570042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Masked Regime12c162.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.744,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Masked Regime66c162.5$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7462738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Masked Regime49c140.82$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8244244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Masked Regime75c128.53$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4466436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Ground Zero21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.29430.9%29 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Ground Zero27c91.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9652645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ground Zero45c78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Masked Regime67c75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4560032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed Ground Zero60c65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8230247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Ground Zero33c61.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4121741%89 W · 128 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed Masked Regime49c58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4821159.7%126 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Ground Zero33c49.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.472,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked Masked Regime51c39.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2115056.7%85 W · 65 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Masked Regime68c34.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0896543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Ground Zero41c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.612,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x372f…182abacked Masked Regime51c24.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.014951%25 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.