CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafbbcb7b8ddeaf42e4bb8b113a9d03eb1bd603a0b11c9017d6d5c4c05f99cc87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Masked Regimeof Ground Zero, Masked Regime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Ground Zero | 50c | 6,741$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.2 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…ab64backed Ground Zero | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Ground Zero | 2c | 4,210$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Ground Zero | 2c | 4,200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Masked Regime | 40c | 2,576$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.45 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Ground Zero | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…ba87backed Ground Zero | 4c | 2,400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Ground Zero | 2c | 2,400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 7cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Ground Zero | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7288…9ec5backed Ground Zero | 8c | 1,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Masked Regime | 61c | 829$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.31 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Masked Regime | 54c | 712.49$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.01 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Masked Regime | 68c | 620.68$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.69 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Ground Zero | 9c | 620$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Ground Zero | 22c | 600$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Ground Zero | 22c | 600$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…063fbacked Ground Zero | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed Ground Zero | 11c | 528.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Ground Zero | 11c | 528.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Masked Regime | 79c | 528$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Ground Zero | 21c | 521$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.93 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ground Zero | 5c | 510$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Masked Regime | 52c | 494.55$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.79 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Masked Regime | 51c | 425.6$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.67 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…86c8backed Ground Zero | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Ground Zero | 16c | 320$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Ground Zero | 16c | 320$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Ground Zero | 22c | 300$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…f069backed Ground Zero | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Ground Zero | 27c | 298$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…be70backed Ground Zero | 15c | 261.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Masked Regime | 46c | 258.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Masked Regime | 28c | 250$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Masked Regime | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Masked Regime | 71c | 247$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…5ea0backed Masked Regime | 48c | 206.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Masked Regime | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Ground Zero | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…e6d9backed Ground Zero | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Ground Zero | 13c | 177.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Masked Regime | 12c | 162.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.74 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Masked Regime | 66c | 162.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Masked Regime | 49c | 140.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Masked Regime | 75c | 128.53$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Ground Zero | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Ground Zero | 27c | 91.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ground Zero | 45c | 78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Masked Regime | 67c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Ground Zero | 60c | 65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Ground Zero | 33c | 61.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Masked Regime | 49c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ground Zero | 33c | 49.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Masked Regime | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Masked Regime | 68c | 34.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Ground Zero | 41c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Masked Regime | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group BGround Zero won
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime - Map 2 WinnerGround Zero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.