CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group B

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x166bd2d91207e82ed10ac8eae72dfd9e88759f6ab744298647badc8b7500f24d

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ground Zeroof Ground Zero, Masked Regime
Resolved: Jun 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $73,279
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $73,753

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,279 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa927…8d9fbacked Ground Zero	78c	16,697$13,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,615.04	345	59.1%204 W · 141 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Masked Regime	22c	5,680$1,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,223.17	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Masked Regime	19c	3,856$724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$724.19	2,522	43%1,085 W · 1,437 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Masked Regime	15c	3,011$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.46	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Masked Regime	19c	2,961$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.79	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Masked Regime	17c	2,738$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.62	1,302	41.2%536 W · 766 L	-50.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Masked Regime	12c	2,336$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.97	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Masked Regime	12c	2,239$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.6	2,326	45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5903…d02bbacked Masked Regime	19c	1,308$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.5	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Masked Regime	17c	676.88$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.33	780	43.7%341 W · 439 L	-21.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Masked Regime	15c	648.22$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.35	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb569…021ebacked Masked Regime	14c	564.2$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.34	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+212.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Masked Regime	14c	541.79$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.98	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3f1…5ea0backed Masked Regime	25c	487.96$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	92	52.2%48 W · 44 L	+6.6wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb982…ffd8backed Masked Regime	18c	469.59$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Masked Regime	16c	432.93$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.81	600	32.3%194 W · 406 L	-49.7wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x62ef…f1dcbacked Masked Regime	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked Masked Regime	25c	401.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	119	52.1%62 W · 57 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Masked Regime	18c	367.31$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.79	1,078	32%345 W · 733 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Masked Regime	18c	350$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	527	50.7%267 W · 260 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Masked Regime	24c	333.05$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	442	44.1%195 W · 247 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Masked Regime	15c	314.01$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.61	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed Masked Regime	20c	305.26$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	308	59.1%182 W · 126 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Masked Regime	15c	299.94$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.71	627	38.8%243 W · 384 L	-31.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-30%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Masked Regime	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,319	44.2%583 W · 736 L	+45.8wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Masked Regime	15c	261.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.68	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Masked Regime	16c	203.09$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.08	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed Masked Regime	11c	192.89$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.08	149	29.5%44 W · 105 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33ad…a123backed Masked Regime	18c	189.54$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	129	46.5%60 W · 69 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed Ground Zero	79c	183$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	69cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc76…3af1backed Masked Regime	10c	182.71$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+50.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Masked Regime	18c	180$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.72	640	46.3%296 W · 344 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46de…84eabacked Masked Regime	27c	162.96$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Masked Regime	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	821	46.3%380 W · 441 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Masked Regime	19c	146$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.74	491	43%211 W · 280 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Ground Zero	75c	143$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.67	686	59.5%408 W · 278 L	+65.9wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1866…1325backed Masked Regime	27c	139.03$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.54	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Masked Regime	14c	131$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.34	883	30.7%271 W · 612 L	-63.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked Masked Regime	10c	127.64$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.76	351	31.1%109 W · 242 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed Masked Regime	20c	112$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	129	48.1%62 W · 67 L	+8.8wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Masked Regime	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	405	42%170 W · 235 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Masked Regime	18c	86.47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.42	965	43.5%420 W · 545 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7420…4567backed Masked Regime	19c	84$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.96	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Masked Regime	19c	81.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.58	835	43.6%364 W · 471 L	-9.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Masked Regime	36c	79.36$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.49	231	50.6%117 W · 114 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Masked Regime	26c	77.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,046	45%471 W · 575 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Masked Regime	26c	74.21$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Masked Regime	28c	65.85$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.37	2,624	51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa78e…7cbcbacked Masked Regime	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	288	37.5%108 W · 180 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Ground Zero	78c	58.36$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.57	1,591	46.6%741 W · 850 L	+30.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x542a…0312backed Masked Regime	20c	51.95$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	102	32.4%33 W · 69 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe416…7fc0backed Ground Zero	80c	37.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Ground Zero	76c	29.94$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.28	1,003	55.7%559 W · 444 L	+24.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…806dbacked Ground Zero	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	-6.4wins	-0.13per pick	70cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4efd…02eabacked Ground Zero	69c	23.19$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.19	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.5wins	+0.23per pick	50cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9803…0242backed Ground Zero	78c	15.29$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.29	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Ground Zero	77c	12.99$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.99	675	47.3%319 W · 356 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Bthis page
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime - Map 1 WinnerMasked Regime won
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime - Map 2 WinnerGround Zero won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group B

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event