MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefd217eaff72714e4190407afb8d47b624f182a668c5c194da9a875f4617b2fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 51c | 99,917$50,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,957.44 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 81,853$40,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,745.06 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…f741backed Under | 55c | 19,943$11,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,029.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 19,741$9,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,067.74 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…c3c7backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 48c | 7,288$3,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,803.47 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 5,371$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.22 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Over | 50c | 4,169$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.93 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Over | 50c | 3,941$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.44 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 51c | 3,895$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.39 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 3,698$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.32 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 3,680$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.32 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 24c | 3,653$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.02 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…c780backed Under | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | +288.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 5c | 2,886$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.32 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 2,622$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.33 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 49c | 2,500$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.6 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Under | 51c | 2,284$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 53c | 2,099$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.45 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 1,967$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.37 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.83 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Under | 67c | 1,599$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.38 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 40c | 1,502$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.89 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0df…9cf9backed Under | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 44c | 1,299$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.04 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 1,203$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.16 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 62c | 1,200$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.28 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 45c | 1,152$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.4 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.92 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Under | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…ab64backed Under | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 18c | 833.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.24 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 720$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.06 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Over | 79c | 718.33$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.13 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 44c | 712.5$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.24 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 46c | 696.32$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.77 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 22c | 675$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.5 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 38c | 673.49$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.93 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 556.32$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.36 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 52c | 546.02$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.93 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 5c | 545.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 518.21$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.05 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 75c | 507$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.71 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 46c | 501$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.35 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 28c | 294$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.83 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 289.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.44 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 43c | 259.93$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.16 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 46c | 244.32$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.93 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 45c | 232$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 50c | 222.66$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.33 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 50c | 221.09$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.71 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…cb80backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a32…6bbebacked Under | 56c | 194$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…7b09backed Over | 45c | 194$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Over | 50c | 190.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 49c | 180$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 18c | 180$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.48 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed Over | 45c | 175.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 47c | 167$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Under | 52c | 163.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 19c | 162.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.69 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 47c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 46c | 154.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 47c | 140$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 36c | 133.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 39c | 132.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Under | 50c | 128.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 53c | 124.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 44c | 115$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed Over | 79c | 111.03$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Under | 41c | 106.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 38c | 105.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 48c | 104$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 44c | 102$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 44c | 100.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 51c | 99.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…6d43backed Under | 22c | 89.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 74.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6188…0a91backed Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 80c | 69.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.