TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,102
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,285

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,102 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf438…9559backed Under46c20,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,199.984949%24 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over44c16,032$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,032.0312640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over55c8,487$4,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,853.014,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under43c8,298$3,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,567.951,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over56c6,781$3,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.372,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over57c6,682$3,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900.331,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c5,833$3,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,201.1110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over57c4,410$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.951,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under45c3,244$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.132,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c2,340$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.8111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over54c1,800$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82886653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c1,611$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.0812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over54c1,338$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.4892054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under45c1,142$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.868,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over44c1,124$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.3791252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c1,040$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.868,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under20c946.11$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.123,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c930.12$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.329,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over57c840$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.289053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under46c760.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0527249.3%134 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over56c666.32$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.185,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under44c576.1$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.611,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over27c555$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.1587750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over26c510$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.55,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over54c486$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.561,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Under43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010046%46 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over56c452.54$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.1234942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over54c395.05$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.592,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over55c381.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.952,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under43c350$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.51533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c293.28$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.916,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c272.08$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.272,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over37c203.71$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.996,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under43c202.58$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.464,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3b…cb80backed Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under43c198.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5638353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x980e…bc50backed Under47c193$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe3…6b70backed Over54c193$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4437256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under44c159.63$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.842,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…e7c8backed Over49c149.16$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.072360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over56c145$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.81,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over31c142.59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.453,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under64c132.47$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.031,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Under43c130$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.98035%28 W · 52 L-10.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d64…527ebacked Under80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over47c124.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0490446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Over54c101.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8512939.5%51 W · 78 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4444949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4454146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under46c95.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44c…73bfbacked Under66c90.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2116251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Under25c86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.553261.8%329 W · 203 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over43c81.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.447549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379141.8%38 W · 53 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over60c74.87$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.881,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over54c64.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.843560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under22c64.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.355,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over43c62.79$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7954651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e94…776bbacked Under48c62.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0118444.6%82 W · 102 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under23c58.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4869447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Under44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fff…5495backed Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.563775.7%28 W · 9 L+7.3wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over42c47.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.682,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under46c42.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.622,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f06…3e6ebacked Over33c40.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.244226.2%11 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.625850.4%130 W · 128 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over47c38.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.331343.5%136 W · 177 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6a58backed Over57c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4812753.5%68 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under37c35.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0130048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Under43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0524749%121 W · 126 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012f…6d43backed Under58c34.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.956946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b7…fd93backed Under45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158241.5%34 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Over42c29.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1824350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef0…25b2backed Over57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xece7…3353backed Over57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.326445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under42c26.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1499447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1155643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under43c23.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2422849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Over56c21.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6140148.1%193 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Over76c21.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.198669.8%60 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5569…c927backed Under64c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4412858.6%75 W · 53 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over54c20.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.341,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.98,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.223750.6%120 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Over54c19.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1212257.4%70 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Under80c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.283053%440 W · 390 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.