MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf3996e80d45930ff9f698d1a9597347817cc6f8c48b5f7348a36be706e89d69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf438…9559backed Under | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.98 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 44c | 16,032$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,032.03 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 8,487$4,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.01 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 43c | 8,298$3,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,567.95 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 56c | 6,781$3,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.37 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 57c | 6,682$3,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.33 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 5,833$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 57c | 4,410$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.95 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 45c | 3,244$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.13 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 2,340$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.81 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 1,611$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 54c | 1,338$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.48 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 45c | 1,142$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.86 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 44c | 1,124$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.37 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 1,040$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.86 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 20c | 946.11$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.12 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 930.12$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 57c | 840$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.2 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 46c | 760.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.05 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 666.32$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.18 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 44c | 576.1$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.61 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 27c | 555$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.15 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 26c | 510$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.5 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 54c | 486$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.56 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Under | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 56c | 452.54$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.12 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 54c | 395.05$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.59 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 55c | 381.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.95 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 293.28$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 272.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.27 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 37c | 203.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 43c | 202.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…cb80backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 43c | 198.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…bc50backed Under | 47c | 193$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…6b70backed Over | 54c | 193$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 44c | 159.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…e7c8backed Over | 49c | 149.16$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 56c | 145$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 31c | 142.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 64c | 132.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.03 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Under | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 47c | 124.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 95.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…73bfbacked Under | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 25c | 86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 60c | 74.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 54c | 64.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 22c | 64.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 43c | 62.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Under | 48c | 62.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 23c | 58.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Under | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fff…5495backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 42c | 47.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 42.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…3e6ebacked Over | 33c | 40.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Over | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 37c | 35.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…6d43backed Under | 58c | 34.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 42c | 29.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…25b2backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 42c | 26.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 43c | 23.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 56c | 21.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Over | 76c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 86 | 69.8%60 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 54c | 20.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Over | 54c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 80c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.