Fifa International · resolved market
Côte d'Ivoire to score first vs. Ecuador?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x511646bc44c1e5a4589c903b5720986ee7a41f5c29492f2b3f2ce42b755b6059
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 64c | 2,742$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.17 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Yes | 35c | 1,802$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.28 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 1,470$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.46 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 1,407$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.17 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 39c | 1,216$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.14 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…ab64backed No | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.20per pick | 6cpaid | +327.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Yes | 40c | 804.53$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 147 | 25.9%38 W · 109 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 62c | 799.96$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.97 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked No | 64c | 776.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed No | 66c | 758.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…e16bbacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked No | 60c | 602.55$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.56 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 591.19$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.21 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebeb…47b3backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Yes | 40c | 503.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.18 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b6…58b6backed Yes | 42c | 480.31$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 392.4$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.72 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 64c | 322$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.08 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 57c | 260.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.87 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 61c | 238$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 60c | 226.83$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.52 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Yes | 38c | 226.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 60c | 204.96$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 57c | 188.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 62c | 182.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.66 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 41c | 179.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 64c | 171.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 34c | 166.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…0d48backed Yes | 33c | 151.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4352…e2c4backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 60c | 130$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 62c | 128.56$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa622…4448backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 113 | 25.7%29 W · 84 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 66c | 110$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Yes | 41c | 109.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbe…9185backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca4…8bfcbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 34c | 89.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 61c | 79.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 62c | 74.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 68.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 34c | 67.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 65c | 65.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef33…6be3backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 37c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb62…b61abacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…6258backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb056…bc8dbacked Yes | 35c | 40.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 38.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 61c | 36.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Yes | 43c | 30.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x303e…96ffbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 62c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Côte d'Ivoire to score first vs. Ecuador?this page
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Neither team to score first?No won
- Ecuador to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.