Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3015355445fe13d330be46fdf36fb88adde81728aa16023905528a24df56dd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 53c | 4,565$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.11 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 50c | 2,895$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.66 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…698dbacked Yes | 56c | 2,565$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 50c | 2,512$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.78 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 1,608$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.59 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 46c | 504.89$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.07 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…3111backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 46c | 454.5$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.54 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 448.38$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.97 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 51c | 440.34$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.77 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Yes | 50c | 406.09$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.05 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Yes | 53c | 378.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 48c | 326.25$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb115…4e6fbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 15c | 298.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 49c | 283.01$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.34 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 49c | 272$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.94 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 35c | 270.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked No | 49c | 239.33$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79aa…1168backed Yes | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Yes | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 50c | 203.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Yes | 48c | 200.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 120 | 28.3%34 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 48c | 191.86$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…8dc0backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e4…07b1backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…1377backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 50c | 182.54$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 49c | 170$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 51c | 168.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 54c | 143$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4352…e2c4backed Yes | 42c | 118.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…fdf0backed Yes | 43c | 114.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 28c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…4ef4backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba0…f472backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4d45backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 53c | 84.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 51c | 74.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d7…07f7backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 44c | 59.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce1…6c48backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7b…2564backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 259 | 45.2%117 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…04e6backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…9baebacked Yes | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…7351backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9583…fa5dbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef9…ab0abacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bd…0328backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb626…3b64backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…3db8backed Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…b33dbacked Yes | 50c | 30.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe382…1037backed Yes | 50c | 29.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 277 | 29.2%81 W · 196 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…1353backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…e7b0backed Yes | 55c | 27.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 51c | 25.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b5…5ce5backed Yes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c4…7a96backed Yes | 50c | 20.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffaf…64c6backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb73d…cc50backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7b…7d56backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…37d5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…92b1backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?this page
- Côte d'Ivoire to score first vs. Ecuador?Yes won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.