Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 2 Belgium?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5c26271a7472ba6fc9d89b2326950e6f233939f1aa0298783c978114797c37b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 31,425$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.24 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 8c | 25,618$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.87 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 8,182$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.74 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 8c | 7,526$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.08 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 7c | 2,840$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 5c | 2,661$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.09 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 8c | 2,090$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.57 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe5…6f6bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,901$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 51 | 3.9%2 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 6c | 1,668$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 17c | 1,387$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.2 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…4d3ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 20.3%50 W · 196 L | -21.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7859…012ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 7c | 1,050$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…5d81backed Yes | 6c | 1,017$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 7c | 704.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 207 | 25.6%53 W · 154 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b8…48a6backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d57…9d36backed Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…5255backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 6c | 362.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes | 5c | 358.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 229 | 31%71 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 7c | 344.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…d35fbacked Yes | 8c | 319$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 7c | 318$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…2fa7backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 27.5%46 W · 121 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 8c | 295.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…c59ebacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 6c | 260.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…087fbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 23.3%21 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…c8b9backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…3b09backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5802…0aedbacked Yes | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 239 | 44.8%107 W · 132 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 8c | 235.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac78…a7b7backed Yes | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c80…6ff1backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 284 | 39.1%111 W · 173 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4765…ca11backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…abffbacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb3…4fbcbacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…2c27backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…6686backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…9762backed Yes | 7c | 171$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a2…787dbacked Yes | 8c | 170.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Yes | 8c | 159.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 97 | 17.5%17 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 8c | 152.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 75c | 151.85$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a19…836bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 113 | 23%26 W · 87 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…131ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c4…511bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…374bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0240…32b8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e3…881abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…dc7cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…0f14backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…6375backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb3…f9f6backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366e…dc73backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…d3e8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…8339backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…8181backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 2 Belgium?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 3 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 0 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 1 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 2 Belgium?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 3 Belgium?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.