TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 1 Belgium?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,106 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c9,058$447 inLost-$447.038,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes7c2,367$164 inLost-$163.7911421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Yes5c1,980$99 inLost-$9915127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes6c1,695$100 inLost-$10024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost-$1001155.2%6 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…340ebacked Yes6c800$48 inLost-$48100%0 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d67…4d3ebacked Yes6c800$48 inLost-$485510.9%6 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes6c700$42 inLost-$4235621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b052backed Yes5c657.81$30 inLost-$3015930.2%48 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5a…c59ebacked Yes4c625$25 inLost-$251118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-62.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes2c573.5$11 inLost-$11.472,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes5c510.98$26 inLost-$25.551,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes4c500$20 inLost-$2013936%50 W · 89 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes6c414.8$25 inLost-$24.8944524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost-$2014329.4%42 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes5c316.87$17 inLost-$16.54,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf67…6842backed Yes6c250$15 inLost-$1510628.3%30 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x304d…8558backed Yes4c250$10 inLost-$105147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5fe…1471backed Yes6c250$15 inLost-$1514818.9%28 W · 120 L-0.4wins0.00per pick19cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefd1…e388backed Yes5c200$10 inLost-$102634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9e…0dfcbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost-$108341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes6c200$12 inLost-$1212914.7%19 W · 110 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d1a…89d0backed Yes5c200$10 inLost-$103125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes6c183.33$11 inLost-$1130011.3%34 W · 266 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.