TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,739 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65b5…aa71backed Under19c502.35$95 inWon+$406.940655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over13c481.31$60 inLost-$60.272,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under76c228.98$173 inWon+$55.4887237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x975e…f875backed Under22c220.24$48 inWon+$171.797946.8%37 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over51c180.76$92 inLost-$91.7287837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12c1…ddd6backed Over59c169.94$100 inLost-$10019932.2%64 W · 135 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…a42abacked Under19c154.76$29 inWon+$125.366618.2%12 W · 54 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc2a4…895bbacked Under34c147.65$50 inWon+$97.652737%10 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under41c143.76$59 inWon+$84.8212954.3%70 W · 59 L+14.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+89.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under72c126.25$91 inWon+$35.4582537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over25c102.34$26 inLost-$25.944,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over20c101$20 inLost-$20.22,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over20c99$19 inLost-$19.472,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over12c86.81$10 inLost-$10.381,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4325…324dbacked Over79c83.92$66 inLost-$668762.1%54 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under48c66.63$32 inWon+$34.612,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under47c58.74$28 inWon+$30.992,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c52.16$25 inLost-$24.558,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e40…1945backed Under28c50$14 inWon+$36.13357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over33c32.33$11 inLost-$10.753412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under56c32.01$18 inWon+$14.161,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Under64c30$19 inWon+$10.924540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under55c22$12 inWon+$9.91,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.