TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,631
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,631 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over24c998.11$241 inLost-$241.472,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under75c906.52$677 inWon+$229.633,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under76c501$381 inWon+$120.2461752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over20c499.99$100 inLost-$10040655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3e…0e10backed Over21c238.1$50 inLost-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under80c216$173 inWon+$43.21,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under79c216$171 inWon+$44.6187237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under79c108$85 inWon+$22.591,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeea2…f26dbacked Over20c100$20 inLost-$208421.4%18 W · 66 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Over21c96.19$20 inLost-$2028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over24c96$23 inLost-$23.042,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under72c94.25$68 inWon+$26.3934249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over17c90$15 inLost-$15.4487837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Over21c88.64$19 inLost-$1923528.1%66 W · 169 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over18c82$14 inLost-$14.442,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over23c80$18 inLost-$18.42,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under80c75$60 inWon+$151,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over28c71.61$20 inLost-$2022147.5%105 W · 116 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+80.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over28c71.43$20 inLost-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under76c70.59$54 inWon+$16.943,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over15c69.41$11 inLost-$10.514,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under74c50$37 inWon+$132,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e40…1945backed Under79c50$40 inWon+$10.53357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under74c27.91$21 inWon+$7.261,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4346…f897backed Under74c27.09$20 inWon+$7.0918056.1%101 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.