Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Vera Zvonareva vs Shuai Zhang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeab43de4b719a3fef708d6444ca8c7bc251c1d4c5d7f8ba81108739051f22aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zvonarevaof Zvonareva, Zhang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Zhang | 4c | 4,856$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Zhang | 10c | 3,777$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.4 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Zhang | 29c | 3,334$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.2 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Zvonareva | 60c | 3,324$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.56 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…327ebacked Zhang | 42c | 1,426$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.51 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Zhang | 63c | 1,310$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.3 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Zvonareva | 27c | 1,303$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.14 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Zhang | 16c | 1,263$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Zhang | 6c | 1,167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Zhang | 2c | 1,106$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Zhang | 76c | 1,055$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Zvonareva | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Zhang | 35c | 788.86$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.54 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zvonareva | 77c | 755.71$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.39 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…8f96backed Zhang | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Zhang | 31c | 395.79$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.29 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Zvonareva | 27c | 384.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.4 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Zvonareva | 23c | 329.16$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Zhang | 54c | 256.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…bb95backed Zvonareva | 67c | 244.54$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Zhang | 74c | 203.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Zvonareva | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…4c8abacked Zvonareva | 54c | 175.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…4e21backed Zhang | 61c | 165.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Zhang | 75c | 160.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Zhang | 40c | 125.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Zhang | 74c | 106.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 194 | 66%128 W · 66 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…dcd6backed Zhang | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Zhang | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Zvonareva | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zvonareva | 46c | 97.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Zhang | 72c | 94.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1149…3628backed Zhang | 48c | 92.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Zvonareva | 39c | 81.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Zhang | 35c | 79.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…7774backed Zhang | 75c | 73.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Zhang | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…2149backed Zvonareva | 27c | 68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Zvonareva | 23c | 63.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zvonareva | 67c | 62.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Zvonareva | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Zhang | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…f896backed Zvonareva | 53c | 52.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…7de3backed Zvonareva | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 37cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Zhang | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Zvonareva | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…9dc4backed Zvonareva | 28c | 48.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Zhang | 73c | 46.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aad…ef0abacked Zhang | 75c | 42.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…73d1backed Zhang | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c89…2db9backed Zhang | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…2b01backed Zvonareva | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…df8dbacked Zhang | 73c | 30.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…55eabacked Zhang | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094d…59f3backed Zhang | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Zhang | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…df6ebacked Zhang | 73c | 26.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd635…bc89backed Zhang | 73c | 24.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb02…dac4backed Zhang | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Zhang | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…b4e3backed Zhang | 73c | 17.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Vera Zvonareva vs Shuai Zhangthis page
- Set Handicap: Zhang (-1.5) vs Zvonareva (+1.5)Zvonareva won
- Zvonareva vs. Zhang: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.