TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,638 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x68df…4815backed Yes7c7,063$494 inLost-$494.43911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-80.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x834c…fff3backed Yes8c3,750$300 inLost-$300366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+161.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Yes6c1,970$118 inLost-$118.210443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes7c1,784$121 inLost-$121.1822723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes2c1,436$32 inLost-$31.886339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes6c969.21$60 inLost-$605617.9%10 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes8c687.37$53 inLost-$52.9432031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ab…cda4backed Yes6c554.06$33 inLost-$33.241040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Yes4c535.99$21 inLost-$21.4422737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes7c483.24$36 inLost-$35.661089.3%10 W · 98 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1135…379cbacked Yes7c471.43$33 inLost-$33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes8c468.24$36 inLost-$35.964599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes7c438.71$32 inLost-$32.1783.8%3 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1304…138cbacked Yes6c418.57$25 inLost-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes6c386.47$22 inLost-$21.7144423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x724d…8deabacked Yes6c300$17 inLost-$16.5933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Yes8c300$24 inLost-$2426833.6%90 W · 178 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Yes6c299.79$18 inLost-$17.994434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes7c297.72$21 inLost-$20.52128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ef…2f42backed Yes7c291.67$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x737d…1f6bbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost-$203020%6 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f07…4518backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Yes7c241.93$17 inLost-$16.94520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-69.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29cd…cbc5backed Yes6c199.99$13 inLost-$131127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+77.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…261fbacked Yes7c160$12 inLost-$11.924357.6%140 W · 103 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes8c126$10 inLost-$10.08100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.