TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,422
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,422 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No75c11,962$8,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,962.091,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes22c6,457$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40312236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes30c4,412$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.613969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No80c4,110$3,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.112,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes20c2,547$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.430634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No78c1,766$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.021,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x039b…7007backed Yes23c1,522$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9838729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c1,327$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.374,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes23c1,311$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes16c1,107$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.184238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c1,046$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.61,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No78c1,030$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7342851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2207851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked No79c999.95$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.991942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9be4…0156backed Yes34c926$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Yes20c905$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb34…a390backed Yes21c879.71$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes26c830$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.6719662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8bdc…b5e9backed Yes25c802.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.26520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc583…e29dbacked Yes21c736.18$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes21c700$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14711037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes4c700$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2722729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes20c634.78$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1286440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes20c625$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1256222.6%14 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes40c605$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24215150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Yes9c600$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No60c546$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.484939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a9…5e9ebacked Yes11c545.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x956a…c48ebacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No79c499.98$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes22c499$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7512944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc20…d37fbacked No79c481.01$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20bb…5bb4backed Yes21c476$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x190b…e60ebacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes9c445$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8815236.2%55 W · 97 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes23c441.95$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.831827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes20c441.59$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.251060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+67.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes29c441$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.515246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No71c416$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8810629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5048…4b29backed Yes20c413.75$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c400.18$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.663,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes5c392.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.689134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed No78c384.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.75255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes22c355.73$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806920.3%14 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes21c353.05$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.142748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes22c318.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe789…6a1cbacked Yes25c315.6$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x319a…03cebacked Yes26c312.85$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No63c295.79$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.0421322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes21c285.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No79c268.35$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.35933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-55.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes25c256$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes17c250.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4230842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No79c238.09$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Yes22c230.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes31c228.81$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes35c225.33$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1929038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023252.6%122 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes21c213.64$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8623947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes24c202.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.029533.7%32 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes14c201.92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4416838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4262744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc513…ffe7backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+73.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483016.7%5 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-52.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaffc…fab4backed Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed No79c189.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.841250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No55c185$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2562258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No76c181.72$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8715443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a35…53f2backed Yes23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf9a…336bbacked Yes24c162.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+64.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8deb…0139backed No80c155$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick73cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes24c147.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.355119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33f1…7a59backed Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Yes23c135$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.153030%9 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No79c134.98$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.358446.4%39 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes21c134.81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.466931.9%22 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No72c133.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6915643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No79c133.3$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef65…f32fbacked No79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582755.6%15 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0784…be77backed Yes22c120$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.221626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes24c112.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277030%21 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No79c111.6$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3920452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes20c110$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2114023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a62…fa34backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2115832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes21c95.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes20c92.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4953242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206636.4%24 W · 42 L-10.5wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-39.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No79c90.81$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0774657.4%428 W · 318 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes20c87.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.54431.8%14 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20429.5%4 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-63.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.