TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,642
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,642 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes28c15,187$4,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,252.4315034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c5,400$3,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.912,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No64c4,448$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.5590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No72c2,725$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76325648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c1,500$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.844,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No72c1,400$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3925046%23 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes27c1,393$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3765232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes76c1,319$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002462.5%15 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes10c983$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.122213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Yes10c982.68$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.891346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Yes41c944.27$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3847241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c824.98$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.141,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No73c821.92$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.923161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No73c820.57$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.555754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes6c699.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4422729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No73c651.88$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.019956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes27c629.63$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1706222.6%14 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed No69c600$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1872669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes41c462$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1615246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No73c430$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.111260.7%68 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed No74c410$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.63151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa61b…e7babacked Yes57c359.25$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No43c350$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20121322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No73c338$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.262646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes62c328.9$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.17853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes12c305.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.693,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0272…ef18backed Yes43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes28c291.01$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.449134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.783964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe760…973abacked No73c256.16$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No72c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No38c242.59$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.669533.7%32 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No62c240.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.368075%60 W · 20 L+13.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No78c233.33$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2916838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes6c225.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5510629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No72c205.92$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6674457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5642458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No34c200$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1339530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224216.7%7 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+162.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes27c197.7$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2521626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf2…45d2backed No73c186.62$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No54c178.53$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes56c176.37$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes17c168$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7815643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae80…186cbacked No73c165.75$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes67c160$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2612944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb485…f560backed Yes38c157.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x007c…82fdbacked Yes64c156.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-51.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No71c143.11$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3425872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eac…525ebacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No69c133.73$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.454463.6%28 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes32c132.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4314023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes26c125.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1642851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a62…fa34backed Yes9c120$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.04425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No25c118$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.526641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a0…8423backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bfb…9f00backed No72c110.39$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.391883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes10c110$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1115832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e7cbacked Yes52c105.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2783640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb94…04f4backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2770%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63af…3438backed Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c40…7c34backed Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322975.9%22 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389034.4%31 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b02…ae87backed Yes75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751450%7 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee02…8132backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13150%0 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes36c97.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353522.9%8 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes12c95.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.436731.3%21 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Yes28c87.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.518543.5%37 W · 48 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No72c83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2412656.3%71 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a3b…3b15backed Yes28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac3…c523backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e94…f7bfbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203528.6%10 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked No74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.573964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa946…a679backed No49c64.82$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7408…cf2ebacked Yes32c61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.521910.5%2 W · 17 L-5.1wins-0.27per pick37cpaid-82.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No73c58$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9347653.8%256 W · 220 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Yes56c55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.86956.5%39 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205427.8%15 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes43c51.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6720353.7%109 W · 94 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204951%25 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.48268.3%56 W · 26 L+14.7wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No78c45.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2759555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x358b…3722backed Yes28c44.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.46520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2805…d0f5backed Yes43c42.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4860%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No55c42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7817455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.814044.3%62 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b1…e87fbacked Yes62c38.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed No74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.782360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6bd…dd13backed Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-65.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc5f…e8a1backed Yes63c31.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6404…edbdbacked Yes63c31.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.