Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc88ebee63185f37f3b4006bc8ef3a2591cf2ed71eb433a07cf15c0635628ecd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c26…cf53backed No | 55c | 7,204$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 5,939$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.51 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 72c | 2,160$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.46per pick | 59cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 27c | 1,394$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.54 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…894ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,309$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked No | 55c | 1,274$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.7 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…4121backed Yes | 27c | 1,169$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.61 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 45c | 1,117$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 26c | 1,100$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.9 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c12…8e4fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,031$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 73c | 862.24$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.15 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 53c | 804.97$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.64 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 62c | 768.37$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.08 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes | 28c | 593.96$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 550.2$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.15 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 26c | 489.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 75c | 454.25$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.57 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 453.4$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.8 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 31c | 409.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf58…9c69backed No | 68c | 409$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed No | 14c | 403$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 65c | 384$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.85 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 73c | 370.37$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.37 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked No | 53c | 341.75$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed No | 67c | 322$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.62 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 49c | 306.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.86 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 28c | 300$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 67c | 257$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.43 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 54c | 215.6$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 35c | 200.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed No | 68c | 197.4$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 77c | 189.26$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.73 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 179.82$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.65 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc31…133cbacked No | 55c | 124.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7037…7cc8backed Yes | 28c | 115.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec2…00f6backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +216.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes | 27c | 113$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 26c | 109.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…eaf4backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 24c | 104.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 73c | 103$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…75d9backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…ba15backed No | 55c | 99.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Yes | 50c | 99.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…8b15backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d7…646ebacked Yes | 24c | 62.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 27c | 60.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…fd2abacked No | 54c | 55.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…4293backed No | 67c | 52.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2550…8813backed No | 74c | 52.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…c6cdbacked Yes | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 61c | 49.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 64c | 45.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Yes | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 42c | 44.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…f9febacked No | 55c | 43.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 74c | 42.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…6565backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…b2d8backed Yes | 79c | 37.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 80c | 33.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 43c | 30.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…3b34backed Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…ead4backed No | 54c | 26.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…a17bbacked Yes | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…22dcbacked No | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 74c | 24.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 77c | 17.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 73c | 15.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Roma end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29?No won
- Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-01-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.