TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x762a…6d1d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
20
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick68cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$39.17
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Playoffsbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$20.16
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+48%+$280.85
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$50.59
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$92.46
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffsbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$79.85
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$65.12
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$54.24
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$29.51
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO5) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$52.58
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Dota 2: Chandogs vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Amaru Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$128.54
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$198.81
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Krawietz/Puetz vs Balaji/Demolinerbacked Krawietz/Puetz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.