Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Krawietz/Puetz vs Balaji/Demoliner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb4b98a9b2400a714ea2b140792353a043f7d1fa395f7e2fba0fbef5ab32c89e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Balaji/Demolinerof Krawietz/Puetz, Balaji/Demoliner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Krawietz/Puetz | 76c | 2,000$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Balaji/Demoliner | 24c | 2,000$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Krawietz/Puetz | 76c | 1,650$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Balaji/Demoliner | 24c | 1,650$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Balaji/Demoliner | 50c | 763.79$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.11 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…25f9backed Krawietz/Puetz | 76c | 524.87$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Krawietz/Puetz | 77c | 516.1$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.39 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Krawietz/Puetz | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Balaji/Demoliner | 24c | 438.2$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.1 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Balaji/Demoliner | 79c | 296.91$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd23…b9aabacked Krawietz/Puetz | 77c | 260.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…90ccbacked Krawietz/Puetz | 77c | 257.68$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.41 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Krawietz/Puetz | 71c | 251.17$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.53 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…8bc2backed Krawietz/Puetz | 78c | 230.77$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Balaji/Demoliner | 23c | 228.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.73 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Balaji/Demoliner | 70c | 203.57$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80db…279bbacked Krawietz/Puetz | 76c | 198.37$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Balaji/Demoliner | 23c | 195$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Balaji/Demoliner | 24c | 135.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Krawietz/Puetz | 16c | 133.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Krawietz/Puetz | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…6d1dbacked Krawietz/Puetz | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…8473backed Balaji/Demoliner | 25c | 127.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…f8e2backed Krawietz/Puetz | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62eb…4c76backed Krawietz/Puetz | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Balaji/Demoliner | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Balaji/Demoliner | 33c | 76.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Krawietz/Puetz | 77c | 74.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Balaji/Demoliner | 24c | 57.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e04…7127backed Krawietz/Puetz | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Balaji/Demoliner | 24c | 49.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Balaji/Demoliner | 23c | 47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e7…8b25backed Krawietz/Puetz | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Balaji/Demoliner | 50c | 21.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Krawietz/Puetz | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Balaji/Demoliner | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.