Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b1ff180306e6c828c2173992af2d5a95c8f20b07f87e664e3cba1050b087973
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 66c | 5,000$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.09 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Under | 34c | 2,936$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 34c | 2,397$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 66c | 1,554$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.77 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 66c | 1,500$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 66c | 1,190$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.03 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 33c | 1,063$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.34 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d2ffbacked Under | 34c | 852.94$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Under | 33c | 848$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.36 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 65c | 459.15$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.7 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 33c | 423.37$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 38c | 413.25$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.97 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 65c | 310.3$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.71 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Under | 34c | 270$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 34c | 240$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 50c | 129.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 66c | 125.23$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…35a3backed Under | 34c | 119$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Under | 35c | 111.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Under | 34c | 96.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 66c | 81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 67c | 76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…2d8dbacked Under | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 66c | 50.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 44c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Under | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…12a7backed Under | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 66c | 33.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Over | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…42c1backed Over | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…359fbacked Over | 71c | 16.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)Deep Cross Gaming won
- Game Handicap: TSW (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)Deep Cross Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP PlayoffsTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 WinnerDeep Cross Gaming won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 WinnerDeep Cross Gaming won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.