Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefe4d27a5466ddf3bdf3a28c6aa9edad60b6981e2e7a9fc24268ac3f32644742
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Deep Cross Gamingof Team Secret Whales, Deep Cross Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 41c | 2,180$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.39 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Team Secret Whales | 66c | 881.68$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.91 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…9f48backed Team Secret Whales | 50c | 597.24$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.62 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Team Secret Whales | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Team Secret Whales | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e272backed Team Secret Whales | 66c | 100.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Deep Cross Gaming | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked Team Secret Whales | 68c | 59.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Team Secret Whales | 52c | 28.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Team Secret Whales | 51c | 27.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Secret Whales | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa109…f159backed Team Secret Whales | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: TSW (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)Deep Cross Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP PlayoffsTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 WinnerDeep Cross Gaming won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 WinnerDeep Cross Gaming won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.