TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cattolica: Miguel Tobon vs Alexander Vasilev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alexander Vasilevof Miguel Tobon, Alexander Vasilev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86fb…03d4backed Alexander Vasilev46c5,332$2,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,904.9385348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Miguel Tobon53c3,524$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.879,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Miguel Tobon53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0609,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Alexander Vasilev45c1,991$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.981,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Alexander Vasilev41c1,338$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.4665952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Miguel Tobon55c1,189$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.771,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Miguel Tobon7c1,118$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5811,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Alexander Vasilev45c1,004$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.21,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9201…e578backed Alexander Vasilev43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5705058%29 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Miguel Tobon57c857$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.491,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Alexander Vasilev45c755.99$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.883,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Miguel Tobon55c745.53$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.674,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Alexander Vasilev42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3487,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Miguel Tobon58c566$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.281,04750%524 W · 523 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…84b5backed Miguel Tobon56c532$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Alexander Vasilev47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9187837.2%327 W · 551 L-2.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Miguel Tobon57c517.24$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.831,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Miguel Tobon53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2654,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Alexander Vasilev42c499.99$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.222,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x557e…d185backed Miguel Tobon18c499.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904233.3%14 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf84b…6455backed Miguel Tobon4c486$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.441217.4%9 W · 112 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Alexander Vasilev45c445.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.0110440.4%42 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Alexander Vasilev48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Miguel Tobon8c399.59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.678,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Miguel Tobon57c381.47$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.1219052.1%99 W · 91 L-12.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Alexander Vasilev43c375.11$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.072,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Miguel Tobon61c327$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4722667.7%153 W · 73 L+1.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Alexander Vasilev49c308$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.364,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Miguel Tobon59c290$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.51,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2c…227dbacked Miguel Tobon55c289.62$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.291963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Miguel Tobon58c277$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.811,73052.2%903 W · 827 L-8.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Alexander Vasilev45c266.66$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.662,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Alexander Vasilev40c258.66$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.285634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Miguel Tobon58c231.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5639052.1%203 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Miguel Tobon45c223.97$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.864,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Alexander Vasilev45c223.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1358145.8%266 W · 315 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84b8…93c7backed Miguel Tobon51c211$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.617644.7%34 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Miguel Tobon52c205.24$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.926,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Miguel Tobon58c204$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.328853.4%47 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4891…2a07backed Miguel Tobon50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Miguel Tobon55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.971,54249.2%759 W · 783 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Miguel Tobon56c199$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4412048.3%58 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf106…0541backed Miguel Tobon39c188.15$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.95933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8db0…5b69backed Alexander Vasilev53c183.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.56844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Miguel Tobon56c173$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0692046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Alexander Vasilev42c162.2$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0892138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Miguel Tobon8c159.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Miguel Tobon52c153.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.525,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Miguel Tobon57c139.52$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5345751%233 W · 224 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Miguel Tobon57c127.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9547552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Miguel Tobon55c127.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3370456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Miguel Tobon58c126.67$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4773748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Alexander Vasilev43c124.89$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7485637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Alexander Vasilev42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.055,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Alexander Vasilev58c117$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.263,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Alexander Vasilev45c116.44$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.761,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Alexander Vasilev51c115.5$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.671,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Miguel Tobon55c111$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.059151.6%47 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1180…5f23backed Alexander Vasilev45c110.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Miguel Tobon59c106.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1213860.9%84 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Alexander Vasilev44c105.96$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.952,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Alexander Vasilev43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc5…d713backed Miguel Tobon59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a1…2dbebacked Miguel Tobon21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…8927backed Miguel Tobon58c94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.528948.3%43 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Miguel Tobon54c93.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5064755%356 W · 291 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b2…14c2backed Miguel Tobon54c92.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.993158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3191…e118backed Miguel Tobon22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014829.1%43 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Miguel Tobon55c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.54353.5%23 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Alexander Vasilev43c88.72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2247854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Miguel Tobon58c86.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5083056.1%466 W · 364 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Miguel Tobon54c86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.441,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Miguel Tobon59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050958%295 W · 214 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Alexander Vasilev42c82.46$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8390459.5%538 W · 366 L+0.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Miguel Tobon58c77.09$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.452,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Miguel Tobon56c77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1218850%94 W · 94 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Miguel Tobon53c76.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.323,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Alexander Vasilev41c73.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.391,10752.8%585 W · 522 L+2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Miguel Tobon58c72.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.717,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa276…dcfabacked Miguel Tobon60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404652.2%24 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x741a…b692backed Miguel Tobon56c64.29$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Miguel Tobon55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3343750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6bc…42c1backed Miguel Tobon58c57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.065650%28 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaef9…9b3dbacked Miguel Tobon58c56.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.053754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a92…716abacked Miguel Tobon25c55.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.054037.5%15 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x092a…8577backed Alexander Vasilev47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.199943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Alexander Vasilev43c51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0719634.2%67 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Alexander Vasilev42c45.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.641,70248.3%822 W · 880 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Alexander Vasilev44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4595658.2%556 W · 400 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Alexander Vasilev45c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.752,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Miguel Tobon56c43.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.181,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a2…8ff7backed Alexander Vasilev43c42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9439443.9%173 W · 221 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Alexander Vasilev43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.81,26944.8%568 W · 701 L-5.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Miguel Tobon56c38.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.41,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alexander Vasilev49c38.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.475,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Alexander Vasilev43c37.23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.231,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Miguel Tobon58c37.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4130544.3%135 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Miguel Tobon59c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2482055%451 W · 369 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Alexander Vasilev45c35.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7579047.5%375 W · 415 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Miguel Tobon58c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.312659.5%75 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.