TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Modena: Noemi Basiletti vs Varvara Lepchenko

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Varvara Lepchenkoof Noemi Basiletti, Varvara Lepchenko
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,809 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8cda…2de5backed Varvara Lepchenko45c15,075$6,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,290.036157.4%35 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Noemi Basiletti44c8,597$3,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,751.213,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Noemi Basiletti11c6,510$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.6331234.6%108 W · 204 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Varvara Lepchenko51c4,420$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.114,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Noemi Basiletti55c3,183$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.151,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Noemi Basiletti15c2,565$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.514,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Noemi Basiletti20c2,447$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49213427.6%37 W · 97 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Varvara Lepchenko48c1,851$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.424,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Varvara Lepchenko48c1,438$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.7552152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Varvara Lepchenko77c1,150$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.875,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Varvara Lepchenko72c1,034$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.5611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Noemi Basiletti26c1,029$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.399,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Varvara Lepchenko44c1,026$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.552,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Noemi Basiletti12c1,025$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8590435.7%323 W · 581 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Varvara Lepchenko48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.991,10252.2%575 W · 527 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Noemi Basiletti50c952.12$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.0665952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Noemi Basiletti50c899$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.951,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Varvara Lepchenko58c862.11$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.1120045%90 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Varvara Lepchenko61c693$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.752,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a34…51fabacked Noemi Basiletti16c673.56$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9222020%44 W · 176 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Varvara Lepchenko80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Noemi Basiletti56c620$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.21,04750%524 W · 523 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Varvara Lepchenko50c608$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30443943.7%192 W · 247 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f9…3dcabacked Noemi Basiletti30c573.47$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.729643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked Noemi Basiletti19c525.62$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.130235.1%106 W · 196 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Noemi Basiletti54c515$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.0339052.1%203 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Noemi Basiletti20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Varvara Lepchenko44c499.99$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.642,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc41c…17e3backed Noemi Basiletti10c471.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.49425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Noemi Basiletti54c462.31$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.8247854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Noemi Basiletti50c460$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23068139.1%266 W · 415 L-30.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Noemi Basiletti20c458.29$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.283823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Noemi Basiletti53c439.62$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23346255.8%258 W · 204 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Varvara Lepchenko48c427.08$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.0878452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Varvara Lepchenko48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.676453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Noemi Basiletti55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22045744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Varvara Lepchenko48c361.73$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.184640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Noemi Basiletti55c360.1$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0673748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Varvara Lepchenko46c350$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18996035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Noemi Basiletti23c334.91$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.031,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Noemi Basiletti46c313.26$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14336038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Noemi Basiletti24c309.2$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.266,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Varvara Lepchenko49c296$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9655641.2%229 W · 327 L-2.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Varvara Lepchenko48c273$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.967,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Noemi Basiletti21c250$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.567131.3%210 W · 461 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Noemi Basiletti52c230$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.68853.4%47 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Varvara Lepchenko44c213$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7952135.1%183 W · 338 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Noemi Basiletti55c209.71$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.082,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Noemi Basiletti55c203$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6515754.8%86 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf8…75e4backed Noemi Basiletti56c202.68$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.519343.5%84 W · 109 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Varvara Lepchenko50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10058145.8%266 W · 315 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Noemi Basiletti53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10613247%62 W · 70 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Noemi Basiletti56c190.23$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10716050.6%81 W · 79 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Noemi Basiletti17c189.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.361,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Noemi Basiletti55c188$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.447552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Noemi Basiletti33c179.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603,26240.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Noemi Basiletti33c179.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Varvara Lepchenko45c173.86$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.623,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Noemi Basiletti58c172.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009556.8%54 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Noemi Basiletti7c171.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.380051%408 W · 392 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Varvara Lepchenko48c161.94$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2139149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Noemi Basiletti53c157$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.216051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Noemi Basiletti10c156.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564637.2%240 W · 406 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Noemi Basiletti33c155.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Varvara Lepchenko48c150.94$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4986050.1%431 W · 429 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Noemi Basiletti49c149.36$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.191,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Noemi Basiletti23c148.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.633,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Noemi Basiletti57c148$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3612048.3%58 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Varvara Lepchenko63c142.35$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1694140.6%382 W · 559 L-31.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Varvara Lepchenko70c142.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.566,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…1df8backed Noemi Basiletti22c137.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.62944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Varvara Lepchenko43c136.88$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.023,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Noemi Basiletti52c134.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030649.7%152 W · 154 L-16.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Noemi Basiletti55c132$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.849151.6%47 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Noemi Basiletti56c130.95$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3345751%233 W · 224 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Varvara Lepchenko51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.844742.3%189 W · 258 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Varvara Lepchenko69c118$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.581,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1536…7f40backed Noemi Basiletti55c112$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.61936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Varvara Lepchenko47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.385,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Noemi Basiletti53c106$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1810658.5%62 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Noemi Basiletti53c105.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5617655.1%97 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Varvara Lepchenko70c105$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.361,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Noemi Basiletti54c105$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.726957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Noemi Basiletti15c104.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.786,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Varvara Lepchenko48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1743448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Noemi Basiletti55c103.56$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4567848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Noemi Basiletti52c102$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.045567.3%37 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Noemi Basiletti53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534353.5%23 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Varvara Lepchenko49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5140135.7%143 W · 258 L-1.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Noemi Basiletti55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511745.3%53 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Varvara Lepchenko56c98.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5743158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a74…ae2bbacked Varvara Lepchenko51c98.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.034938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Noemi Basiletti53c95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4558553%310 W · 275 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Varvara Lepchenko75c86.59$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.578,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Noemi Basiletti51c82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8518850%94 W · 94 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Varvara Lepchenko49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.838741.1%159 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Noemi Basiletti19c76.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2458539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Noemi Basiletti17c69.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.195445.5%434 W · 520 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Noemi Basiletti55c69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.952,44051.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L+9.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa432…5082backed Noemi Basiletti50c65.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.