Tennis · resolved market
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Raphael Perot
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef11ade2e9449d5b0c28d12bfa44834c5c96a93d9172c127c06efa98bd20422c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tristan Boyerof Tristan Boyer, Raphael Perot
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Raphael Perot | 14c | 3,348$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.86 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Raphael Perot | 28c | 3,156$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.02 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raphael Perot | 14c | 2,692$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.82 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Tristan Boyer | 73c | 1,539$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.53 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tristan Boyer | 72c | 1,044$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.04 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Raphael Perot | 14c | 1,027$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.53 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Raphael Perot | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Raphael Perot | 27c | 971.24$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.85 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Raphael Perot | 26c | 959.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Tristan Boyer | 74c | 855.1$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.93 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Tristan Boyer | 72c | 604$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.12 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raphael Perot | 11c | 515.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Raphael Perot | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Tristan Boyer | 73c | 405.4$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Tristan Boyer | 74c | 404.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 361 | 57.1%206 W · 155 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raphael Perot | 26c | 401$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Tristan Boyer | 73c | 262.03$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Tristan Boyer | 73c | 241.36$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Tristan Boyer | 75c | 176.57$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Raphael Perot | 29c | 173.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Tristan Boyer | 74c | 173$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Tristan Boyer | 73c | 167$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Tristan Boyer | 74c | 138.86$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Raphael Perot | 24c | 135.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tristan Boyer | 76c | 130.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Tristan Boyer | 73c | 123$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Raphael Perot | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tristan Boyer | 72c | 109$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…d713backed Tristan Boyer | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Raphael Perot | 21c | 88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked Raphael Perot | 24c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Tristan Boyer | 73c | 81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Tristan Boyer | 72c | 75.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Raphael Perot | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Tristan Boyer | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Raphael Perot | 20c | 67.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Tristan Boyer | 78c | 67.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Raphael Perot | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Tristan Boyer | 77c | 58.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Tristan Boyer | 74c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Tristan Boyer | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tristan Boyer | 74c | 49.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Raphael Perot | 26c | 49.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…9b3dbacked Tristan Boyer | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…42c1backed Tristan Boyer | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…b692backed Tristan Boyer | 74c | 41.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Raphael Perot | 27c | 41.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Raphael Perot | 27c | 41.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Raphael Perot | 26c | 41.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…1551backed Raphael Perot | 28c | 38.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0963…3e17backed Tristan Boyer | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Tristan Boyer | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tristan Boyer | 71c | 34.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Tristan Boyer | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Tristan Boyer | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Tristan Boyer | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Tristan Boyer | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Tristan Boyer | 72c | 28.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Tristan Boyer | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…297bbacked Tristan Boyer | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Tristan Boyer | 73c | 23.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…82b5backed Tristan Boyer | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed Tristan Boyer | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…2f04backed Tristan Boyer | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…e8bbbacked Tristan Boyer | 72c | 17.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 185 | 72.4%134 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5980…9f47backed Tristan Boyer | 76c | 16.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Tristan Boyer | 73c | 16.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.