TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,664
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,664 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6918…782bbacked Over31c4,900$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.991,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over35c2,099$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.6519758.9%116 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under67c2,079$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.991,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6201,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Under69c1,931$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.0843539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under65c1,667$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.621,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x692b…1550backed Under67c1,595$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over30c1,585$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.342,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under71c904.52$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.331,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Over31c869.53$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.551,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Under65c861.31$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.4612941.1%53 W · 76 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under69c838$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.6925342.7%108 W · 145 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over32c621.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011959.7%71 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19250848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over35c580$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20312352%64 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Under70c503$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0219553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Over34c477.99$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.5212850%64 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over34c474$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1618653.2%99 W · 87 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over32c453.37$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.081,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Under76c442.81$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9132755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Over34c424.5$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.337653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under68c409.99$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.224650%123 W · 123 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over35c408.32$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8318336.6%67 W · 116 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Over31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12415148.3%73 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Over34c333$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2218560.5%112 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Under66c318.77$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3816942%71 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Under66c304.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7610947.7%52 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Under69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.863850%19 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9c…8927backed Over33c267$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.112552%13 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Over34c267$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.781643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8397…0dbbbacked Over32c265.63$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Under76c244.42$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4228643%123 W · 163 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under69c240$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7574637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over32c239.13$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.521,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Over35c213$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.553357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over27c199.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Over33c196$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.688051.3%41 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe93c…76ebbacked Under66c181.82$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.828242.7%35 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7f…2ae7backed Under66c155$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.72832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Under65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8515248.7%74 W · 78 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Under65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8517650%88 W · 88 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over8c141.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.661,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe7…9323backed Under71c140.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.142450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over34c135$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.938257.9%221 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Over35c134$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.910253.9%55 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Over35c124$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.426856.7%152 W · 116 L+1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219e…f793backed Under70c114$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.22941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6bc…42c1backed Over33c109$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.972176.2%16 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3428559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over34c99.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9961746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x741a…b692backed Over32c99.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Over35c95$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2518257.1%104 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under66c92$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2824445.1%110 W · 134 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424c…82b5backed Over33c90$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Under69c84.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1825154.2%136 W · 115 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf93a…8a46backed Under69c82.61$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.612157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d1…439ebacked Over35c82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.72060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Under66c73.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8344743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed1…1b89backed Under68c69.4$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.213158.1%18 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked Over35c69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1510253.9%55 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Under70c63.28$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222265.3%145 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.860243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under68c58.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5334834.2%119 W · 229 L-39.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94b7…297bbacked Over33c56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.481656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b06…99c9backed Over34c56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.04850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under68c52.62$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6715748.4%76 W · 81 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over21c52.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.261,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x53fc…d6fabacked Over35c51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca5e…4a1cbacked Over32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515552.3%81 W · 74 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Under65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1522644.2%100 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a88…ded1backed Under69c43.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.393537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under67c43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.241,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc187…7ac1backed Over34c43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.627252.8%38 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ffd…d27cbacked Under79c42.31$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.841668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed Under66c41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9414850.7%75 W · 73 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7752…8681backed Under67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3119063.7%121 W · 69 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under68c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5245044.7%201 W · 249 L-29.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x061e…4672backed Over35c31.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f65…38bfbacked Over35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53256.3%18 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-10.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb63…e129backed Under65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f97…6aafbacked Under69c23.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1911659.5%69 W · 47 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Under66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7357655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffcb…d630backed Under69c20.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.341770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c10…1a8bbacked Under74c19.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547064.3%302 W · 168 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under66c18.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3179745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Under67c15.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.239859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under65c15.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.