TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO5) - ESL Challenger League South America Finals Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ShindeNof ShindeN, Imperial
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,977 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaebf…e1cabacked Imperial36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9935940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc568…1a8cbacked Imperial66c4,900$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,233.994843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ShindeN59c3,622$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.775,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked ShindeN52c2,911$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.651,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed Imperial53c2,905$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53020958.9%123 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Imperial33c2,814$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.991,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ShindeN34c2,647$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.137,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Imperial49c2,112$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.7416344.8%73 W · 90 L-32.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed ShindeN74c2,059$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.451,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c4c…9f95backed ShindeN70c2,048$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.414242.3%60 W · 82 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked ShindeN66c1,729$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.51,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed ShindeN64c1,543$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.525647.7%122 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Imperial1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151080.9%1 W · 107 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Imperial1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked ShindeN54c1,448$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.711,00752.4%528 W · 479 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed ShindeN64c1,250$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.912748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac23…9064backed Imperial26c1,120$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-78.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Imperial15c1,050$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.491,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb888…b15bbacked Imperial57c1,047$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed ShindeN54c955.7$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.42,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked ShindeN66c933.9$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6266446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed ShindeN69c826.41$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.872,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed Imperial47c818.08$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.4711243.8%49 W · 63 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Imperial46c799.89$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.142,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Imperial32c757.56$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.731,08354.2%587 W · 496 L+39.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Imperial20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15055236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Imperial44c687.52$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.554,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed ShindeN46c681$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.7429340.6%119 W · 174 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed ShindeN71c670.03$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7948635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed ShindeN52c669.51$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.5119142.4%81 W · 110 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffc7…2259backed Imperial24c646.13$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.715442.6%23 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed ShindeN64c640.11$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.4460853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f47…b8f2backed Imperial50c616.14$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.871060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Imperial29c613.06$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.652,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked ShindeN51c580$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.28848.9%43 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed ShindeN43c573.75$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.241,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Imperial55c528.19$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29021947.5%104 W · 115 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked Imperial33c517.08$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3818933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Imperial19c500$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4438037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ShindeN43c499.97$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.985,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Imperial47c459.46$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.342,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed ShindeN52c451.75$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.847949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ba…2404backed Imperial57c425.03$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9421856%122 W · 96 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Imperial44c424.21$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7815453.9%83 W · 71 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked ShindeN47c415.67$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.6739157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Imperial37c400$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.431,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Imperial12c395.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4357641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed ShindeN70c350.14$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5478043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f56…b78ebacked ShindeN60c335.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.614447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Imperial57c334.53$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.6855843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Imperial43c328.27$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.549347.3%44 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed ShindeN42c300.78$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4528738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked ShindeN45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16538444.3%170 W · 214 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed ShindeN70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed Imperial39c286.89$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.631738.8%123 W · 194 L-1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Imperial53c286.28$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.734546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e9e…102abacked ShindeN55c280$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1269757.7%56 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Imperial36c278.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038838.7%150 W · 238 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3468…e71ebacked Imperial36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43f…3b20backed Imperial45c275.6$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.922458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x758e…f824backed ShindeN74c271.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.351478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed ShindeN47c259$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.274856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed ShindeN34c258.88$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4612748%61 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Imperial34c255.47$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.358343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cba…dbf7backed Imperial59c254.83$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Imperial17c251.76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4734036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ShindeN73c239.07$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.063,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed ShindeN47c233.13$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2325848.8%126 W · 132 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca29…a1d0backed Imperial55c229.95$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6122844.3%101 W · 127 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked ShindeN46c228$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3229156.7%165 W · 126 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Imperial56c222.81$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12525344.3%112 W · 141 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Imperial57c215.14$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.631741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Imperial29c196$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8411155%61 W · 50 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed ShindeN51c194.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5847447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Imperial52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0a9…5862backed ShindeN54c185.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.485152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x585e…019fbacked Imperial54c184.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002920.7%6 W · 23 L-9.1wins-0.31per pick52cpaid-61.9%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Imperial56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.392,11942.9%909 W · 1,210 L-66.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f4…59eabacked Imperial10c176.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.710428.8%30 W · 74 L+12.1wins+0.12per pick17cpaid+99.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ShindeN66c170.23$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.474,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Imperial59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.318846.8%88 W · 100 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed ShindeN41c170$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.32,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Imperial59c169$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7121147.9%101 W · 110 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ShindeN61c164.11$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.524,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc76…3af1backed Imperial33c164.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.745048%24 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Imperial59c163.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0177351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed ShindeN70c161$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.345646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed ShindeN53c159$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7327454.7%150 W · 124 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed ShindeN52c159$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.321080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Imperial40c158$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0818248.9%89 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ff…b8debacked Imperial37c154.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.738046.3%37 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8cd…e77cbacked Imperial18c149.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.948242.7%35 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f11…7031backed ShindeN75c147.61$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.613161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed ShindeN41c141.55$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5249935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbff…b7a7backed Imperial57c140.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Imperial57c140.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8033657.1%192 W · 144 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed ShindeN75c133.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.830154.2%163 W · 138 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked ShindeN75c130.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4110541%43 W · 62 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Imperial59c130$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.317246.5%80 W · 92 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb12…6a81backed ShindeN42c129.28$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.988548.2%41 W · 44 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.