CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d3260a808a5bfd7794cde16ccfb1a7b5c844e4761308b4cb4650c04007969d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Imperial | 55c | 1,208$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.52 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed ShindeN | 45c | 808.93$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.91 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Imperial | 60c | 593$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.59 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked ShindeN | 45c | 545.79$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.54 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Imperial | 51c | 385.41$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.96 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ShindeN | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked ShindeN | 52c | 331.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.57 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial | 51c | 238.52$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ShindeN | 53c | 166.03$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed ShindeN | 50c | 128.82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked ShindeN | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed Imperial | 55c | 98.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Imperial | 46c | 79.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed ShindeN | 46c | 78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked ShindeN | 46c | 63.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Imperial | 18c | 58.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…7a55backed ShindeN | 25c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed ShindeN | 37c | 49.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83d…f813backed ShindeN | 65c | 46.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d5…41b8backed Imperial | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked ShindeN | 60c | 34.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ff…b8debacked ShindeN | 42c | 33.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Imperial | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO5) - ESL Challenger League South America Finals PlayoffsShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 3 WinnerImperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.