CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63c0ca8ef961418ee447a096635722078b7280879e9c4b444ed0a6c236a174a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof ShindeN, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Imperial | 56c | 2,940$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.76 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed ShindeN | 50c | 1,587$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.52 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed ShindeN | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed ShindeN | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Imperial | 53c | 1,255$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.47 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed ShindeN | 29c | 1,163$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Imperial | 50c | 1,102$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.81 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed ShindeN | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked ShindeN | 50c | 998.43$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Imperial | 51c | 856$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.3 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ShindeN | 49c | 794.35$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.48 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Imperial | 51c | 764.67$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ShindeN | 36c | 684.2$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.71 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…6163backed ShindeN | 60c | 499.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ShindeN | 52c | 394.58$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ShindeN | 32c | 380.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked ShindeN | 58c | 342$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Imperial | 64c | 327$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed ShindeN | 30c | 291$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Imperial | 50c | 268$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Imperial | 41c | 255.86$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.68 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed Imperial | 51c | 250$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed ShindeN | 55c | 232.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ShindeN | 48c | 231.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ShindeN | 25c | 230.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed ShindeN | 59c | 228.21$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ShindeN | 56c | 198.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.09 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Imperial | 52c | 173.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed ShindeN | 63c | 169.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 120 | 27.5%33 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ShindeN | 34c | 164.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Imperial | 52c | 149.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Imperial | 52c | 147.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ShindeN | 50c | 143.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial | 57c | 143.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ShindeN | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5900…45ebbacked Imperial | 37c | 103.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…3af1backed ShindeN | 31c | 103$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Imperial | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked ShindeN | 52c | 96.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ShindeN | 46c | 79.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Imperial | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b8…0418backed ShindeN | 39c | 73.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…6c88backed ShindeN | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked ShindeN | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed ShindeN | 37c | 48.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Imperial | 63c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Imperial | 63c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Imperial | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked ShindeN | 49c | 45.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ff…b8debacked Imperial | 56c | 42.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Imperial | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Imperial | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Imperial | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…7a55backed ShindeN | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Imperial | 63c | 22.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Imperial | 54c | 22.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO5) - ESL Challenger League South America Finals PlayoffsShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 4 WinnerShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.