CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc58ad8a12b65bdd10a47aa2c269ed80a09bb04f43179102b0164c4cac26062b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ShindeN | 46c | 2,078$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.73 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Imperial | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Imperial | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ShindeN | 67c | 1,454$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.79 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Imperial | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…b15bbacked Imperial | 62c | 971.3$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Imperial | 37c | 838.99$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.68 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Imperial | 58c | 759.76$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.86 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed ShindeN | 48c | 604.92$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.02 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed ShindeN | 46c | 348.03$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.94 | 294 | 43.9%129 W · 165 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Imperial | 54c | 348.03$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.94 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Imperial | 53c | 344.81$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.05 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed ShindeN | 41c | 318.37$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.14 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…f975backed Imperial | 51c | 306.18$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed ShindeN | 31c | 266.65$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.72 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial | 55c | 212.59$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Imperial | 40c | 202.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Imperial | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed ShindeN | 49c | 163.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Imperial | 66c | 155$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.23 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Imperial | 71c | 141.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Imperial | 55c | 141$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Imperial | 44c | 131.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed ShindeN | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Imperial | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Imperial | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed ShindeN | 57c | 118.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 380 | 49.5%188 W · 192 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Imperial | 31c | 103.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed ShindeN | 50c | 100.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Imperial | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Imperial | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Imperial | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ShindeN | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Imperial | 56c | 93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Imperial | 22c | 89.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed Imperial | 60c | 83.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Imperial | 54c | 76.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Imperial | 65c | 75.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed ShindeN | 64c | 62.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed ShindeN | 51c | 57.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Imperial | 52c | 55.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Imperial | 41c | 53.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Imperial | 58c | 51.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked ShindeN | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked ShindeN | 45c | 49.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Imperial | 38c | 42.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed ShindeN | 64c | 40.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed Imperial | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Imperial | 37c | 38.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked ShindeN | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed ShindeN | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Imperial | 52c | 27.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed ShindeN | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO5) - ESL Challenger League South America Finals PlayoffsShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 3 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 4 WinnerShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.