CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fb32682b6c222f5d0456f51b7550fa7b17975431bd03c50b2d5bce3a57eb312
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ShindeN | 23c | 891.54$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.56 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked ShindeN | 42c | 715.07$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.07 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86af…f384backed Imperial | 79c | 651.86$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.21 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed ShindeN | 33c | 600$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.5 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed ShindeN | 37c | 582.59$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.28 | 294 | 43.9%129 W · 165 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed ShindeN | 44c | 562.42$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.56 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ShindeN | 53c | 555.18$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.13 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Imperial | 60c | 553.97$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.12 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Imperial | 79c | 420.84$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.7 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Imperial | 80c | 376.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ShindeN | 38c | 350$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed ShindeN | 36c | 338.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.12 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed ShindeN | 30c | 320.42$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.04 | 120 | 27.5%33 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Imperial | 34c | 299.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed ShindeN | 42c | 296.62$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.04 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed ShindeN | 28c | 294.64$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.14 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Imperial | 49c | 286.29$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.03 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…7235backed Imperial | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ShindeN | 34c | 261.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.11 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked Imperial | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Imperial | 50c | 249.57$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.11 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8051…2ab5backed ShindeN | 30c | 219.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Imperial | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ShindeN | 15c | 156.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.43 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Imperial | 56c | 153.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Imperial | 67c | 149.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed ShindeN | 37c | 144.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Imperial | 42c | 141.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Imperial | 71c | 140$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…b794backed Imperial | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked ShindeN | 43c | 132.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd933…6a68backed ShindeN | 11c | 124.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +190.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked ShindeN | 44c | 116.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…e910backed Imperial | 57c | 114.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Imperial | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Imperial | 54c | 111.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed ShindeN | 21c | 105$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 359 | 48.5%174 W · 185 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed ShindeN | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…67f7backed Imperial | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…3faabacked ShindeN | 16c | 94.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…03d7backed Imperial | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed Imperial | 65c | 91.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked ShindeN | 33c | 74.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked ShindeN | 33c | 73.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdf…6498backed Imperial | 50c | 70.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…4be1backed Imperial | 42c | 70.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Imperial | 52c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed Imperial | 47c | 55.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 141 | 69.5%98 W · 43 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Imperial | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Imperial | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Imperial | 48c | 51.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Imperial | 67c | 50.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Imperial | 67c | 47.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Imperial | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed ShindeN | 29c | 43.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Imperial | 52c | 38.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 394 | 69.3%273 W · 121 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed ShindeN | 45c | 36.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ff…b8debacked ShindeN | 38c | 34.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…6b49backed Imperial | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…3af1backed ShindeN | 45c | 33.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Imperial | 51c | 31.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial | 69c | 30.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Imperial | 43c | 27.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Imperial | 47c | 24.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 296 | 61.1%181 W · 115 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Imperial | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 80.6%150 W · 36 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Imperial | 54c | 19.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Imperial | 57c | 18.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 423 | 71.9%304 W · 119 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial (BO5) - ESL Challenger League South America Finals PlayoffsShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 3 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 4 WinnerShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.