Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba6f0c22294287ae199ef6591500adf5c60cce080421371d4e1adb96c9cf1336
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 73c | 2,125$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.74 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…997abacked Over | 27c | 1,100$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 63c | 485$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.45 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 37c | 420.53$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.71 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 27c | 354.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Over | 27c | 329.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 72c | 303.97$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 26c | 295.05$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 27c | 268.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…74f2backed Over | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Under | 74c | 73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…a6a3backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Under | 73c | 58.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 27c | 38.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 383 | 58%222 W · 161 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…42c1backed Under | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…99c9backed Under | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…d6fabacked Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: KBM (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming Academy (+1.5)KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante PlayoffsKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas won
- LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 1 WinnerKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas won
- LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 2 WinnerKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas won
- LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 3 WinnerpaiN Gaming Academy won
- LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 4 WinnerKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.