TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: KBM (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming Academy (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendasof KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas, paiN Gaming Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,051 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef26…05babacked paiN Gaming Academy43c1,743$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.461,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas57c854.17$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.9235346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x566b…ceb9backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas55c554.98$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.7414348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas55c409.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.563352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48d1…8fe6backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas57c351$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.936749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb5…def4backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas57c299.88$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9511258.9%66 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe93c…76ebbacked paiN Gaming Academy44c272.82$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208242.7%35 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked paiN Gaming Academy44c257.4$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5140741.5%169 W · 238 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x662a…150ebacked paiN Gaming Academy46c219.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed paiN Gaming Academy45c215.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.191,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas54c214.82$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7624650%123 W · 123 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas56c199.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8860538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked paiN Gaming Academy45c195.56$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8817650%88 W · 88 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6777…1a8dbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas57c178$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5422751.5%117 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec6…9404backed paiN Gaming Academy45c144.18$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.882227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas57c110.56$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.541,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95e…102abacked paiN Gaming Academy44c110.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.594351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed paiN Gaming Academy43c108.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.51,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5353…649cbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas57c92.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.987347.9%35 W · 38 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x066d…1bffbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas57c87.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7122843.9%100 W · 128 L+16.4wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ad3…4a42backed paiN Gaming Academy48c82.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas56c69.83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7322324.7%55 W · 168 L-0.6wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb03b…4197backed paiN Gaming Academy45c65.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.475437%20 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68d2…74f2backed paiN Gaming Academy44c59.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262520%5 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-55.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed paiN Gaming Academy46c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2445841.5%190 W · 268 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas52c43.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5744743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed paiN Gaming Academy48c41.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9912458.1%72 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bce…db46backed paiN Gaming Academy43c41.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.724360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7112845.3%58 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x541e…cc8abacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0913262.9%83 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2338…27f6backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.098354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed paiN Gaming Academy45c33.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1475150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x470b…f050backed paiN Gaming Academy44c30.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.55825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdff0…5865backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas57c25.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.054942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed paiN Gaming Academy46c24.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8898…e3b8backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas57c24.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5610356.3%58 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.