Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Griekspoor (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a37ccc60562684d78da6078aaadb9b5387d4ae15dab33c10b72964760b99ab3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Griekspoorof Zverev, Griekspoor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef6b…32e1backed Zverev | 63c | 6,342$3,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Griekspoor | 37c | 3,938$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.02 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Griekspoor | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.98 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Griekspoor | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Griekspoor | 38c | 542.11$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.11 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Zverev | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf126…a54cbacked Zverev | 62c | 242.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xedde…5db2backed Zverev | 63c | 234.37$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.65 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…843fbacked Griekspoor | 31c | 176.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Griekspoor | 42c | 123.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Zverev | 58c | 123.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Griekspoor | 32c | 106$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Griekspoor | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Griekspoor | 37c | 94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Zverev | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…7895backed Zverev | 68c | 75.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Zverev | 53c | 74.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…4968backed Zverev | 63c | 69.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Zverev | 69c | 50.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Griekspoor | 33c | 49.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Griekspoor | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Griekspoor | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Zverev | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a5…4572backed Zverev | 62c | 31.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Zverev | 69c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Griekspoor | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Zverev | 63c | 22.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Griekspoor (+1.5)this page
- National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon GriekspoorTallon Griekspoor won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs GriekspoorZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Zverev vs GriekspoorGriekspoor won
- Zverev vs. Griekspoor: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Zverev vs. Griekspoor: Match O/U 23.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.