TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Diversion Gaming vs ⁠Ethereal Enigmas (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stage

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
⁠Ethereal Enigmasof Diversion Gaming, ⁠Ethereal Enigmas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,426 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbc67…5286backed Diversion Gaming33c603.13$199 inLost-$198.6369756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked ⁠Ethereal Enigmas67c600$402 inWon+$1982,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked Diversion Gaming17c460.54$78 inLost-$77.755038%19 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Diversion Gaming50c200$100 inLost-$10048652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Diversion Gaming28c188.89$53 inLost-$52.892,15253.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L+58.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Diversion Gaming26c176.57$46 inLost-$46.3326144.1%115 W · 146 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked ⁠Ethereal Enigmas76c172.47$131 inWon+$41.622552%13 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Diversion Gaming10c170.85$17 inLost-$17.062,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked ⁠Ethereal Enigmas72c138.89$100 inWon+$38.897448.6%36 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Diversion Gaming23c133.89$31 inLost-$30.6812042.5%51 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6327…97b2backed ⁠Ethereal Enigmas62c113.29$70 inWon+$43.0512962%80 W · 49 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed ⁠Ethereal Enigmas69c100$69 inWon+$3118350.8%93 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked ⁠Ethereal Enigmas74c70$52 inWon+$18.210346.6%48 W · 55 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Diversion Gaming26c57.69$15 inLost-$1519339.9%77 W · 116 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed ⁠Ethereal Enigmas55c50.98$28 inWon+$23.1494134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed ⁠Ethereal Enigmas72c50$36 inWon+$1436048.9%176 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x113d…a76bbacked Diversion Gaming41c45.56$19 inLost-$18.759565.3%62 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe73a…b528backed Diversion Gaming46c43.48$20 inLost-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b39…294abacked ⁠Ethereal Enigmas71c33.58$24 inWon+$9.741752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7397…1968backed ⁠Ethereal Enigmas62c23.16$14 inWon+$8.861361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3a1…64a3backed ⁠Ethereal Enigmas74c20$15 inWon+$5.23050%15 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.