South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8f2d3c5b0632e273aa129666eca14925614c7c93638875fdfadf48c3cade374
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 80c | 20,676$16,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,231.12 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 43c | 17,462$7,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,982.37 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 26c | 17,237$4,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,502.81 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Yes | 43c | 15,636$6,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,864.24 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 59c | 12,372$7,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,096.37 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 58c | 9,987$5,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,808.55 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 6,548$3,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870.96 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 72c | 6,363$4,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.02 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 56c | 6,116$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.45 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.97 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 47c | 4,700$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.39 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked No | 42c | 4,269$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 42c | 2,761$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.94 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 19c | 2,503$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.92 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 63c | 2,324$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.84 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 41c | 2,196$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.35 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Yes | 59c | 1,695$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.34 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 43c | 1,519$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.32 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 41c | 1,486$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.71 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 51c | 1,472$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.17 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.55 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Yes | 53c | 1,282$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.19 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 37c | 1,254$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.2 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 77c | 1,250$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.25 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 66c | 1,232$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.13 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 36c | 1,193$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.57 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 20c | 1,186$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.25 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 61c | 1,156$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.4 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 36c | 1,135$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.67 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 2c | 1,109$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 58c | 1,023$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.36 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Yes | 61c | 1,002$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.58 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed No | 59c | 1,000$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 56c | 884.53$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.53 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 50c | 830.18$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.37 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 51c | 739.11$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.45 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 54c | 679$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.07 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 37c | 608.46$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.99 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…84cebacked No | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 27c | 583.15$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.15 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 56c | 538$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.08 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 71c | 500$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 23c | 498.78$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.86 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 60c | 493.63$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.18 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed No | 33c | 446.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa544…0c80backed Yes | 51c | 426.17$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.82 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 60c | 418.98$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.39 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 52c | 360$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.4 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 60c | 333.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.55 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 50c | 326.1$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 50c | 317.54$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 43c | 310.52$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.65 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 55c | 306.95$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.51 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 59c | 266$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.9 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…869bbacked Yes | 66c | 254.12$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Yes | 52c | 243.89$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 64c | 219.87$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 49c | 191.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 181.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 57c | 181$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.67 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 74c | 169.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 49c | 164$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 78c | 160.19$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 58c | 157.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 39c | 142$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 46c | 138.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 35c | 135.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 44c | 128.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 36c | 122.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd71…011cbacked Yes | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 34c | 116.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…554ebacked No | 47c | 115.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 56c | 111.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 49c | 104.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 69c | 99.79$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 48c | 98.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…a901backed Yes | 60c | 91.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 44c | 87.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…431fbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…4133backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed Yes | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 46c | 73.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 59c | 71.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 62c | 66.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 59c | 66.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 77c | 64.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…3566backed Yes | 79c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked No | 46c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2367…75a4backed Yes | 56c | 56.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked Yes | 46c | 52.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.