TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$846,928
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$849,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $846,928 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes47c311,505$145,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166,433.492070%14 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+44.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes43c226,131$96,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129,143.339649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No55c95,714$52,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,733.0412951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb727…2a9dbacked No57c92,351$53,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,031.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No53c66,901$35,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,457.764845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes45c64,616$29,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,386.6935550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed No53c50,000$26,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x531b…32b6backed No57c42,660$24,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,212.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed No55c32,500$17,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,874.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No55c32,200$17,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,741.3871443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c28,301$15,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,711.8226345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No58c24,997$14,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,561.2212654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No55c19,790$10,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,787.9314652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c15,270$8,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,272.531,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c15,109$8,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,224.8197146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No54c14,990$8,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,020.436250%31 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No55c14,799$8,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,081.131,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Yes42c14,280$5,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,282.42441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes40c14,174$5,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,504.3322841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Yes44c13,966$6,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,820.942365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes45c13,649$6,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,506.9532848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No56c12,500$7,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,020.834751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c10,913$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,099.893,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No63c10,500$6,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,654.9217740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No55c10,024$5,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,490.3699340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes45c9,263$4,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,049.6733346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No55c8,500$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,679.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed No61c8,197$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.981553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No54c7,324$3,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,982.071,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes49c6,466$3,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,276.2712667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed No56c5,850$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,300837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes78c5,373$4,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.65440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes42c5,328$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,090.194348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No53c5,267$2,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,803.2620043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes44c4,986$2,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,802.444656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No22c4,543$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.091,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes44c4,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2604942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No56c3,345$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.875154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.0153046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No42c2,902$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.0313952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No53c2,896$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.5911854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No55c2,889$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.351947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No55c2,738$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.668550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No55c2,738$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.691553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No48c2,627$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.2910840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed No54c2,529$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.814245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No55c2,364$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.6335149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No55c2,181$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.5513347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No38c2,175$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.253938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+197%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No37c2,126$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.791,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No55c2,100$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No55c2,083$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.6955750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No60c2,032$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.6917258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1605147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1204751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No60c2,000$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.854334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.991127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No60c1,999$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.333141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed No55c1,958$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.491844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes43c1,923$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.166460.9%39 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed No53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No60c1,875$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1251471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed No56c1,796$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.81752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes42c1,720$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.8721547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No55c1,606$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.7210042%42 W · 58 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No56c1,568$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.089457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked No67c1,500$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No33c1,399$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.8816437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c1,152$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.1537649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed No39c1,144$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.8638246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No52c1,137$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.5552639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.942755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No20c1,078$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.541752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes45c1,002$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5518946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No54c991$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.9513948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No57c940.94$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.8170249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No37c910$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.472352.2%12 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+102.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No37c910$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.73161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No6c846.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.61717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes45c845.61$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.6739435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed No10c776.83$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-79.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No41c769.07$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.794348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No57c744.24$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.7972850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes45c637.81$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.1273438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No59c600$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35415858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes34c590.41$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.677460.8%45 W · 29 L+12.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+38.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Yes43c555$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.353751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…107bbacked No53c550$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf797…37ccbacked Yes46c541$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.141338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked No30c533.92$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.647038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked No55c515.66$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.031346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked No60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9df…210ebacked No55c494.55$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes56c434.23$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.6523953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22414359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4cf…0e95backed Yes46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No55c370.37$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.72147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.