TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,801
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,801 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed No66c23,438$15,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,014.461,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes39c20,000$7,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,724.9417740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.922920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes10c6,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c5,528$3,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.693,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Yes32c4,800$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5525437%20 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes19c4,308$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.6552639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes11c2,804$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9653040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes33c2,587$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9735550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No60c2,115$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.3112654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No62c2,110$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.968150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes15c2,000$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.193161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Yes20c1,955$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.282969%20 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No60c1,636$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.3653046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48014652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No70c1,316$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.746460.9%39 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No73c1,270$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.6916437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1b9…c40bbacked Yes23c1,171$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.621926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No66c1,081$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.455154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes10c1,069$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.078032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No80c978.35$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.6792346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No61c941$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.996349.2%31 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes24c784.01$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.0636646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes26c756.44$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Yes40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No70c748.9$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6733346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No61c723.69$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.241,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes16c660.63$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6431446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c601.82$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.9297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes19c578$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3738246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No75c551.16$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8710840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No65c530.23$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.589268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed No66c514$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.622568%17 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No60c474.43$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.7798945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Yes32c462.8$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.11844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes30c415.69$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7135149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No60c414.9$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8991553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8850…60b1backed No70c357.71$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Yes30c341.79$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.373246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No67c338.77$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4370249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No60c334.44$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6668550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes31c307.19$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2373438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6aa…178ebacked Yes37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No61c284.57$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.87460.8%45 W · 29 L+12.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+38.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes34c268.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3917858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes15c267.44$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.156232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe968…de6fbacked No71c254.34$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes19c252.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4849…767fbacked Yes32c235.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes19c229.94$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3196756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Yes14c227$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.787038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes15c223.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9380249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6215060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No62c191.89$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9471443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No61c168.3$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6726450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No77c166.46$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.297564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed No65c160$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562479.2%19 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x935d…72f4backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed Yes13c153.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206636.4%24 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No68c152.31$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7412951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed Yes32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+83.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes18c138.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.256352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes33c138$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5452923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes32c122.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.123026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes19c120.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9425652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No62c117.22$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.543540%14 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No64c111.11$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.885558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No64c111.1$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7ed…c06dbacked No61c106.57$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No61c105.56$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4780358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No80c102$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.44953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec0f…05f2backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Yes18c98.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.824868.8%33 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No63c96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3610257.8%59 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d18…1701backed Yes36c94.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No66c93.25$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.71875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+60.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x290a…0994backed Yes16c89.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.332254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x694c…eb70backed Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes18c78.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.761,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x884b…c480backed Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No63c71.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.371,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc89…e4d0backed Yes32c66.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Yes19c63.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.83148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No73c58.87$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6354949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9707…6fbdbacked Yes17c58.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No63c55.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6414957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No60c54.72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.898652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No69c53.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.479346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a06…248abacked No68c51.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.232060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Yes32c50.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167339.7%29 W · 44 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.52334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Yes39c49.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.223743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No60c47.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.859345.2%42 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No68c47$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0421547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.