Mls · resolved market
Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d14ce3f662f3a99f8122c8322f80a4ed30a9b23c05657e7e1b459ae917d4660
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.98 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 3,696$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.35 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 2,331$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.76 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 1,767$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.65 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 78c | 1,434$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.12 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 74c | 1,250$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 1,222$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 25c | 1,121$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.07 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 1,080$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed No | 78c | 447.27$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 426.84$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.34 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 419.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 387.06$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 25c | 291.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Yes | 13c | 272.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 259.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed Yes | 22c | 240.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 8c | 224.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 78c | 181.4$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 176.36$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 149$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 25c | 138$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 26c | 114.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 79c | 112$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 73c | 105.81$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 80c | 101.77$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 77c | 98.25$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes | 21c | 96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 19c | 81.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…1388backed Yes | 27c | 74.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 23c | 68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b9…3964backed Yes | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +299.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2df7…7f76backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed No | 78c | 39.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 75c | 33.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 31.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 30.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 75c | 28.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 74c | 25.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 75c | 19.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-19?Yes won
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.