TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,470
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,470 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9770…0ff5backed Over53c20,060$10,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,620.3311952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Under49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.9944851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c13,867$7,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,269.754,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under48c8,665$4,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,522.063,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c5,863$2,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,140.364,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over54c5,200$2,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,833.782,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over47c5,125$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.7529948.8%146 W · 153 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under48c3,228$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.6411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over54c2,553$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.7244749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c2,222$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.1312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.9149158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c1,706$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9036,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52070744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over51c972.71$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.0836048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under49c926.98$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.7612350.4%62 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over53c884.03$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.5446949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under46c722.7$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.312,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under46c652.16$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1729147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under45c511.53$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.7256851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c500$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.59,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Over55c441.11$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.5637052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over32c393.52$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.345,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over54c367$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16299447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Over52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15029656.1%166 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under47c222.64$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1184,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Over53c222.64$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11881257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3910046%46 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over20c200.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over55c192.73$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over52c192$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.841,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over54c185.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over25c185.41$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.542,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over43c163.92$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.176,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Over51c161.22$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2222350.7%113 W · 110 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over9c145.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.45,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under45c145.61$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0951545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Under47c139.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3935849.4%177 W · 181 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under49c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6873849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under47c119.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.992,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c111.62$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0497944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6094549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e9…03a5backed Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over52c101.74$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.41,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5561948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under70c94$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.192,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f36…905fbacked Under46c85$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.919152.9%101 W · 90 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c82.62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.552,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5331…3672backed Under46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.817540.6%71 W · 104 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda48…5926backed Over43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3412339%48 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Under69c68.29$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1711150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under57c68.11$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under47c68$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.732,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under69c63.01$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.533,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over33c53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.478,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over34c51.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.473,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.521748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.535248%169 W · 183 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under48c45.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.922,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe997…f92ebacked Over55c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.559153.8%49 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Under48c41.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6644345.6%202 W · 241 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over37c36.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.451,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Under48c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8239250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Under45c32.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1550748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6164452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under54c32.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.794,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Over53c28.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1547646.2%220 W · 256 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Under45c25.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8913252.3%69 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b9…01bdbacked Under50c21.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.852653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under50c21.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7272655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over55c20.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.