MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb660bc50ebcdcf5fc62f0f654fb34b9ca77fc20290159607ee582f81a04a3aeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 53c | 20,060$10,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,620.33 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.99 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 13,867$7,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,269.75 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 8,665$4,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,522.06 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 5,863$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.36 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 54c | 5,200$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.78 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Over | 47c | 5,125$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.75 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 3,228$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.64 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 2,553$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.72 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 2,222$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 1,706$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 51c | 972.71$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.08 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 49c | 926.98$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.76 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 53c | 884.03$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.54 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 46c | 722.7$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.31 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 46c | 652.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 45c | 511.53$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.72 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 500$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 55c | 441.11$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.56 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 32c | 393.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 54c | 367$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 222.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Over | 53c | 222.64$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 20c | 200.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 55c | 192.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 54c | 185.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 25c | 185.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 43c | 163.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 51c | 161.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 9c | 145.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 45c | 145.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.09 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 47c | 139.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 49c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 119.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 111.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e9…03a5backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 52c | 101.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 70c | 94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Under | 46c | 85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 82.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Under | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Under | 69c | 68.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 68.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 69c | 63.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 33c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 34c | 51.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 45.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…f92ebacked Over | 55c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Under | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 37c | 36.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 45c | 32.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 54c | 32.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 53c | 28.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 45c | 25.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…01bdbacked Under | 50c | 21.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 50c | 21.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 55c | 20.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.